Polymarket Crypto Open Updated 3m ago

Will Pluralis launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Crypto expectations are rising at 54.5% on a moderate-quality market. Crypto expectation is rising at 54.5%. 24h move +20.5 pts. 7d move +26.0 pts. Data quality 32/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

SignalProbability SurgeCurrent classification
Signal score49/100Priority across the tape
Market quality32/100Confidence in the read
Volume963Participation to date
Liquidity219Available market depth
Observed range33.5 pts2221 snapshots
Market angles

The current setup

Trend Rising

+20.5 points over the latest measured period.

Range position 85%

Position between the observed low and high.

Historical percentile 97th

Share of recorded observations at or below today’s probability.

Rolling movement 0.4 pts

Dispersion across the latest twelve observations.

Liquidity / volume 22.7%

Current liquidity relative to cumulative volume.

Time remaining 230d 2h

Time until the listed market resolution deadline.

Probability history

Probability through time

Implied probability across the selected period.

Period low 26.0% Period high 59.5% Direction Rising Spread 0.5 pts
Repricing episodes

The moves that changed the market

Largest recorded probability changes, with the before-and-after price and elapsed interval.

Probability journey

How the market reached today’s price

Key checkpoints from the first observation through the period extremes to the current probability.

Market profile

Signal strength versus theme peers

Each component compared with the median and percentile of other active Crypto markets.

Current signal

Crypto expectation is rising at 54.5%. 24h move +20.5 pts. 7d move +26.0 pts. Data quality 32/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Participation

Where participation changed

Volume accumulation and liquidity are separated so their different scales remain meaningful.

Volume963Cumulative participation
Liquidity219Current available depth
Liquidity / volume22.7%Current depth ratio
Largest volume burst+27Between recorded observations
Market structure

Depth, open interest and spread

Contract structure can confirm a probability move or expose a fragile one.

Crypto context

Current probability and market quality for the strongest related contracts.

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Important context

A probability is a market price, not a promise.

Prediction markets can be wrong, thin, manipulated, poorly specified, or overtaken by new information. Use probability, participation, contract wording and independent research together.

Evidence context