Polymarket Technology Open Updated 1m ago

Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?

Technology expectations are rising at 46.5% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is rising at 46.5%. 24h move +12.5 pts. 7d move +7.0 pts. Data quality 32/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

SignalProbability SurgeCurrent classification
Signal score45/100Priority across the tape
Market quality32/100Confidence in the read
Volume954Participation to date
Liquidity147Available market depth
Observed range23.0 pts295 snapshots
Market angles

The current setup

Trend Rising

+12.5 points over the latest measured period.

Range position 100%

Position between the observed low and high.

Historical percentile 100th

Share of recorded observations at or below todayโ€™s probability.

Rolling movement 0.0 pts

Dispersion across the latest twelve observations.

Liquidity / volume 15.4%

Current liquidity relative to cumulative volume.

Time remaining 15d 11h

Time until the listed market resolution deadline.

Probability history

Probability through time

Implied probability across the selected period.

Period low 23.5% Period high 46.5% Direction Rising Spread 0.1 pts
Repricing episodes

The moves that changed the market

Largest recorded probability changes, with the before-and-after price and elapsed interval.

Probability journey

How the market reached todayโ€™s price

Key checkpoints from the first observation through the period extremes to the current probability.

Market profile

Signal strength versus theme peers

Each component compared with the median and percentile of other active Technology markets.

Current signal

Technology expectation is rising at 46.5%. 24h move +12.5 pts. 7d move +7.0 pts. Data quality 32/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Participation

Where participation changed

Volume accumulation and liquidity are separated so their different scales remain meaningful.

Volume954Cumulative participation
Liquidity147Current available depth
Liquidity / volume15.4%Current depth ratio
Largest volume burst+855Between recorded observations
Market structure

Depth, open interest and spread

Contract structure can confirm a probability move or expose a fragile one.

Technology context

Current probability and market quality for the strongest related contracts.

View full Technology dashboard โ†’
Important context

A probability is a market price, not a promise.

Prediction markets can be wrong, thin, manipulated, poorly specified, or overtaken by new information. Use probability, participation, contract wording and independent research together.

Evidence context