🇳🇿 NZ country intelligence Measured conclusion Latest qualified tape

Country Sentiment Dossier

New Zealand sentiment intelligence

Company-news tone, narrative breadth, confidence, catalyst concentration and market confirmation examined as separate evidence layers.

Balanced and selective 51/100 narrative breadth 72/100 evidence confidence 95 qualified equities from 114 latest records
Peer rank33 of 36weighted group score
Qualified coverage83%19 records withheld
Direct evidence100%1155 company matches
Story dispersion4.0cross-company score spread
Relative to context-1.6versus Global qualified tape
Latest refresh12 Aug 2026679 publisher signals

Executive Evidence Brief

A balanced headline masks a selective company tape

Aggregate tone remains near neutral, so breadth, catalysts and company-level outliers carry more information than the headline score alone.

Directional score50.8weighted polarity, separate from reliability
Breadth51constructive minus cautious participation
Confidence72depth, directness, freshness and agreement

Evidence that supports the read

Evidence confidence is 72/100 across 95 qualified equities.

Direct company coverage supplies 100% of the measured article set.

Conditions that limit conviction

Only 36% of measured equities have a positive one-week response.

Narrative Breadth

How widely tone is shared

95 equities
51Breadth
Constructive55.3%
Balanced8690.5%
Cautious44.2%

Score Distribution

Shape of the company tape

Neutral range 43 to 57
0Strong caution
4Cautious
86Balanced
5Constructive
0Strongly constructive

Evidence Quality

Reliability of the read

Confidence is not polarity
72/100 group confidence
High confidence59
Usable evidence25
Developing11

1155 relevant story observations across 679 publisher signals. 100% is direct company evidence.

13-Week Trajectory

Weighted tone and participation

Completed observations only
15 Jun: tone 51.6, breadth 50.5, 95 observations22 Jun: tone 51.6, breadth 51.1, 93 observations29 Jun: tone 51.1, breadth 51.1, 95 observations06 Jul: tone 51.0, breadth 50.0, 94 observations13 Jul: tone 51.5, breadth 52.1, 95 observations20 Jul: tone 51.3, breadth 52.1, 95 observations27 Jul: tone 51.0, breadth 50.0, 95 observations03 Aug: tone 50.4, breadth 51.2, 43 observations10 Aug: tone 48.8, breadth 50.0, 11 observations 100500
18 May29 Jun10 Aug
Weighted toneNarrative breadthNeutral 50

The path uses a fixed quality sample of up to 95 current constituents to keep the historical query reproducible. Earlier observations are not rewritten by later headlines.

Market Confirmation

How price is responding to the news tape

95 securities measured

Price response is a diagnostic cross-check. It does not alter the sentiment score, so agreement and disagreement remain visible.

Confirmed by price00% of qualified equities
News-price disagreement3234% of qualified equities
Cautious news absorbed00% of qualified equities
No decisive price test6366% of qualified equities
Median 1W return-0.50%
Median 4W return-0.90%
Positive 1W response36%
Active trend signal31%
Above Fair Value55%
Median Fair Value gap+1.90%

Internal Leadership

Sector map

9 qualified groups

2 thin groups are withheld because they contain fewer than 5 qualified securities.

Peer Comparison

Where this read sits in the ranked tape

Rank 33 of 36

Catalyst Lens

What is moving the narrative

Latest company observations
Market update8185.3% of equities · tone 51.1
Earnings1313.7% of equities · tone 49.5
Capital return11.1% of equities · tone 45.0

Publisher Lens

Where the latest observations came from

Not an independence count
Market source1515.8% of equities · tone 49.7
Kalkine1313.7% of equities · tone 50.5
TradingView1010.5% of equities · tone 48.5
simplywall.st99.5% of equities · tone 49.7
TipRanks88.4% of equities · tone 52.0
The Globe and Mail77.4% of equities · tone 53.8
Moomoo66.3% of equities · tone 48.9
BusinessDesk | NZ44.2% of equities · tone 51.2

Positioning Lens

What deserves attention

Score rank#33among 36 measured countries
Parent spread-1.6versus Global qualified tape
Cross-company dispersion4.0higher values mean a less uniform tape

Security Evidence

The equities behind the read

Open any ticker for its complete dossier

Constructive leaders

POT63
Port of Tauranga Limited

Positive news being faded · -4.1% 1W

Earnings · 57/100 confidence · 5 direct stories
FBU61
Fletcher Building Limited

Positive news being faded · -2.1% 1W

Market update · 69/100 confidence · 11 direct stories
PGW58
PGG Wrightson Limited

Balanced read · +1.8% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 13 direct stories
FWL58
Foley Wines Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · +4.3% 1W

Market update · 73/100 confidence · 8 direct stories
AOF58
AoFrio Limited

Balanced read · -1.4% 1W

Market update · 65/100 confidence · 6 direct stories
TAH57
Third Age Health Services Limited

Balanced read · -1.1% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 11 direct stories
SCL57
Scales Corporation Limited

Balanced read · -0.5% 1W

Market update · 69/100 confidence · 7 direct stories
SEK56
Seeka Limited

Balanced read · -1.4% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 9 direct stories

Cautious laggards

AIR40
Air New Zealand Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · -4.6% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 17 direct stories
PFI41
Property For Industry Limited

Balanced read · +0.4% 1W

Market update · 62/100 confidence · 6 direct stories
BPG42
Black Pearl Group Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · -10.9% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 9 direct stories
BLT42
BLIS Technologies Limited

Balanced read · +0.0% 1W

Earnings · 24/100 confidence · 2 direct stories
TGG44
T&G Global Limited

Balanced read · +1.3% 1W

Earnings · 51/100 confidence · 2 direct stories
CNU45
Chorus Limited

Balanced read · +1.3% 1W

Capital return · 54/100 confidence · 4 direct stories
CDI45
CDL Investments New Zealand Limited

Balanced read · +0.0% 1W

Market update · 33/100 confidence · 3 direct stories
NZK46
New Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited

Balanced read · +0.0% 1W

Earnings · 57/100 confidence · 3 direct stories

Attention leaders

FPH55
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Corporation Limited

Balanced read · +3.2% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 44 direct stories
OCA52
Oceania Healthcare Limited

Balanced read · -1.3% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 35 direct stories
STU50
Steel & Tube Holdings Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · +4.5% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 35 direct stories
MCY52
Mercury NZ Limited

Balanced read · -2.2% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 31 direct stories
NZL47
New Zealand Rural Land Company Limited

Balanced read · +0.5% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 29 direct stories
SPG52
Stride Property Group

Price moving ahead of tone · -4.6% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 28 direct stories
SPK47
Spark New Zealand Limited

Balanced read · +2.4% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 28 direct stories
TWR51
Tower Limited

Balanced read · -1.1% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 27 direct stories

Latest Evidence Ledger

Recent company-level observations

18 displayed
WBC48

Is Westpac Banking (ASX:WBC) Fairly Valued Following Its Q3 Earnings Update?

simplywall.st · Earnings · Balanced read

78/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
CEN55

New Zealand Shares Fall Slightly; Contact Energy Accepts Responsibility for December 2025 Under-Frequency Event

marketscreener.com · Market update · Balanced read

76/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
MEX50

Minerals Exploration delivers ‘high-grade’ tungsten and gold

Mining.com.au · Market update · Balanced read

48/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
RYM48

S&P 500 Companies' Quarterly Earnings Growth Eases Amid Healthcare Drop, Oppenheimer Says

Market source · Earnings · Price moving ahead of tone

84/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
GNE51

New Zealand Shares Rise; Contact Energy Fiscal 2026 EPS, Revenue Down

Market source · Earnings · Balanced read

82/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
NZK46

New Zealand Shares Rise; Contact Energy Fiscal 2026 EPS, Revenue Down

Market source · Earnings · Balanced read

57/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
RUA50

Rua Bioscience Secures NZ$600k Convertible Note to Fund Global Expansion

TipRanks · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

51/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
MEL50

Ring Energy Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · Earnings · Balanced read

64/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
TGG44

T&G Global (NZSE:TGG) Stock Faces Valuation Strain Despite Profit Improvement

simplywall.st · Earnings · Balanced read

51/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
VHP50

Japan Property Management Center (TSE:3276) Stock Rally Meets Thinner Earnings Buffer

simplywall.st · Market update · Balanced read

56/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
ARB47

ArborGen cancels CEO long-term incentive shares after departure

TipRanks · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

49/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
TRU52

TruScreen Group Limited Quotes 50,000 Ordinary Shares Following Option Exercise

Kalkine · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

76/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
FBU61

Doman Building Materials Group Ltd (CWXZF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue ...

Market source · Market update · Positive news being faded

69/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
NTL52

Santana, Uvre, New Talisman and more: What’s driving NZ’s mining momentum?

BusinessDesk | NZ · Market update · Balanced read

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
THL51

Starry-eyed Tourism NZ buried the downside to fund its $8m Michelin gamble

Newsroom · Market update · Balanced read

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
LIC47

Livestock Improvement (NZSE:LIC) Stock Margin Decline Reinforces Cautious Narratives After FY 2026 H1 Results

simplywall.st · Earnings · Balanced read

48/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
ALF50

Steel & Tube’s debt pressures, Allied Farmers gets its dosh, one true Promisian, and more

BusinessDesk | NZ · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

67/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
AFT48

AFT Pharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX: AFP) Share Price Update: Stock Holds Steady as Trading Activity Remains Limited

Kalkine · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Reproducible Method

How to read this dossier

Direction

The score measures the polarity of qualified published news after relevance, source quality, event importance and freshness weighting. It is centred at 50.

Breadth

Breadth measures how widely constructive or cautious classifications are shared. A few extreme equities cannot create broad participation.

Confidence

Confidence measures sample depth, direct-company coverage, publisher diversity, freshness and agreement. It is intentionally separate from direction.

Market confirmation

Completed weekly price data tests whether the market confirms, rejects or absorbs the narrative. Price never feeds back into the sentiment score.

Coverage controls

Unqualified ticker records are excluded, and subgroup maps require at least five qualified securities. Thin slices are disclosed instead of ranked.

Interpretation

This is a current evidence classification, not a forecast, target, recommendation or measure of investor positioning.

Evidence context