Week Ending: 4 September 2026

Spain ES Real Estate Industry

Reit - Office

For the week ending 04 September 2026, Reit - Office advanced 0.31% with 1 advancing, 2 declining, and 0 unchanged constituents. The index is equal weighted and the constituent tape shows uncapped security returns.

Current architecture Unresolved

The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.

54 technical evidence
Index995.31 1 week0.31% Breadth33% Members3
Country 🇪🇸 Spain · ES
Sector Real Estate
Universe country-listed
Price basis Adjusted weekly close

Trend architecture

Index, activity fan and structural anchors

Rolling 156-week evidence. Trend Signal points mark weeks when price, trend and the activity fan confirmed together.

Index Value Trend Line Fair Value Activity Lines Constructive architecture Transitional architecture Defensive architecture
Current architecture Unresolved 3 completed weeks in this state
Trend acceptance -5.1% Index versus Trend Line
Persistence 50% Positive regime, shorter trend weakening
Participation 33% 1 advancing, 2 declining

Investor positioning lens

Is the evidence ready for capital?

A rules-based technical classification using trend, breadth, persistence, relative strength and path quality.

Current posture Hold and wait for confirmation

The evidence is balanced enough to avoid a defensive call, but not aligned enough for aggressive positioning.

54 technical evidence
out of 100
Evidence balance

Five-pillar map

Wait
Trend
45
Breadth
35
Persistence
58
Relative
74
Risk quality
86
What supports the view
  • Constituent trends show positive multi-horizon persistence.
  • Medium-term relative returns and peer standing remain constructive.
What restrains conviction
  • Index trend architecture has not delivered a durable upward expansion.
  • Breadth remains too narrow or inconsistent for a high-conviction position.
  • The current 13-week parent-relative trend is weakening.
  • Stage 4 declining constituents exceed Stage 2 advancing constituents by 67 percentage points.
  • Positive contribution is concentrated in a small leadership cohort.
Independent sentiment overlay Sentiment held separate

Qualified news coverage is too thin to alter the technical positioning view.

Evidence that would change the view
  1. A completed weekly reclaim of 1,049.31, the higher of Trend Line and Fair Value, would improve the structural case.
  2. Breadth holding above 55% for several completed weeks would show that repair is spreading.
  3. Positive 13 and 26-week relative performance would confirm that capital is rotating into the group.

This is a weekly research classification, not personal investment advice. Sentiment is reported as an independent confirmation layer and does not alter the technical score.

Trend state and durability

Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes

The index path is tested against the underlying security-level trend evidence.

Index architecture Unresolved

The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.

State age3 weeks
Trend gateMixed
Fan width3.96%
Fast versus slow change-2.42 pts
Above 0% Below 100%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence

Positive regime, shorter trend weakening

50% agreement

The long trend remains positive, but the 13-week horizon has turned against it.

13-week
-3.9%
26-week
-5.3%
39-week
16.7%
52-week
12.9%
Regime age49 weeks 52-week flips2 52-week boundary881.66
Constituent trend persistence

Is the index move broadly durable?

100% coverage
Coherent positive0%
Coherent negative0%
Average horizon agreement42%
Positive horizon share58%
Weakening positives2
Repairing negatives1

3 constituents measured as of 4 Sep 2026. Median trend age is 30 weeks.

Custom stage map

Where constituents sit in the cycle

100% coverage
Stage 1 · Basing0%0 securities
Stage 2 · Advancing0%0 securities
Stage 3 · Distribution33%1 securities
Stage 4 · Declining67%2 securities
Re-acceleration watch0 Transition watch0 Relative strength leaders0% Fair Value repairs0

Measured as of 4 Sep 2026. Stages summarize price, Activity Line architecture, Fair Value position and relative evidence.

Architecture breadth

How market energy is distributed

83/100 mean confidence
Upward expansion
33% 1
Rotation up
0% 0
Deceleration
0% 0
Balance
0% 0
Rotation down
33% 1
Downward expansion
33% 1
Unresolved
0% 0

Architecture breadth shows the distribution of expanding, rotating, balancing and contracting securities. It is diagnostic context and is not added as a second vote in the positioning score.

Capital rotation

Performance relative to Real Estate

Weakening
Relative index 13-week relative trend Starting level
Rotation dashboard Weakening

A rising relative line means this group is compounding faster than Real Estate. A falling line means capital has done better in the parent benchmark.

Relative index99.8
13-week trend103.7
4-week trend change-1.62%
Weekly peer rank1 of 6
1 week
0.8 pts relative
4 weeks
-3.7 pts relative
13 weeks
-2.8 pts relative
26 weeks
-5.3 pts relative
52 weeks
6.5 pts relative

Market internals

Participation, dispersion and path risk

Equal-weight index evidence with constituent-level breadth and dispersion.

Breadth

Participation quality

Narrow
Advancing
1
Declining
2
Unchanged
0
4-week average 17%
13-week average 36%
Risk and persistence

Path quality

52-week lens
Annualised weekly volatility18.3%
Drawdown from 52-week high-9.9%
Positive weeks, last 1346%
Current directional run1 week
Turnover versus 13-week norm170%
Breadth impulse-2.8 pts
Cross-section

Return distribution

3 measured
Q1 -1.5% Median -1.2% Q3 1.4%
Average winner4.0%
Average loser-1.5%
Dispersion2.6 pts
Top-five upside share100%
Top-five capital share100%
Capital data coverage100%

Dispersion describes how far constituent outcomes are spreading apart. Capital concentration is contextual only; the index itself is equal weighted.

Momentum cycle

30-week persistence

Positive readings show expansion. Negative readings show contraction.

Breadth cycle

Net participation

Advancers less decliners as a percentage of measured constituents.

News and narrative

Does company news confirm the market tape?

Open Sentiment Intelligence
Sentiment evidence is still developing

Qualified company-level news coverage is not yet broad enough to influence the group view.

0 qualified records across 3 measured constituents.

Leadership tape

Leaders, laggards and contribution shape

Latest completed week, ranked on uncapped constituent returns.

Leading edge

1 ARMÁrima Real Estate SOCIMI, S.A.
4.00% 2 COLColonial SFL, Socimi S. A.
-1.21% 3 MRLMERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A.
-1.85%

Weakest edge

3 MRLMERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A.
-1.85% 2 COLColonial SFL, Socimi S. A.
-1.21% 1 ARMÁrima Real Estate SOCIMI, S.A.
4.00%

Constituent ledger

Industry constituents

All 3 measured constituents, ranked by latest weekly return.

Rank Ticker Company Exchange Market cap Close Index contribution Return
1 ARM Árima Real Estate SOCIMI, S.A. MCE 256.80M 10.40 1.33 pts
4.00%
2 COL Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. MCE 3.27B 5.30 -0.40 pts
-1.21%
3 MRL MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A. MCE 8.28B 13.26 -0.62 pts
-1.85%

The index uses capped equal-weight weekly constituent returns. The ledger shows uncapped security returns so outliers remain visible for research.

Evidence context