Counter-trend rallies may occur, but primary structure and persistence do not yet support adding risk.
44
technical evidence
out of 100
out of 100
Week Ending: 14 August 2026
Taiwan TW Sector
Real Estate
For the week ending 14 August 2026, Real Estate declined 0.01% with 17 advancing, 23 declining, and 1 unchanged constituents. The index is equal weighted and built from country-listed equities.
Current architecture
Balance
Directional pressure is compressed and neither side has durable control.
44
technical evidence
Index1688.63
1 week-0.01%
Breadth41%
Members41
Country
🇹🇼 Taiwan · TW
Universe
country-listed
Price basis
Adjusted weekly close
Trend architecture
Index, activity fan and structural anchors
Rolling 156-week evidence. Trend Signal points mark weeks when price, trend and the activity fan confirmed together.
Index Value
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Constructive architecture
Transitional architecture
Defensive architecture
Current architecture
Balance
1 completed week in this state
Trend acceptance
0.6%
Index versus Trend Line
Persistence
75%
Negative regime, shorter trend repairing
Participation
41%
17 advancing, 23 declining
Investor positioning lens
Is the evidence ready for capital?
A rules-based technical classification using trend, breadth, persistence, relative strength and path quality.
Evidence balance
Reduce
Five-pillar map
Trend
43
Breadth
41
Persistence
44
Relative
20
Risk quality
88
What supports the view
- No major confirming factor has secured control.
What restrains conviction
- Index trend architecture has not delivered a durable upward expansion.
- Breadth remains too narrow or inconsistent for a high-conviction position.
- Constituent persistence remains divided or predominantly negative.
- The group is not yet delivering dependable relative outperformance.
This is a weekly research classification, not personal investment advice. Sentiment is reported as an independent confirmation layer and does not alter the technical score.
Trend state and durability
Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes
The index path is tested against the underlying security-level trend evidence.
Directional pressure is compressed and neither side has durable control.
State age1 weeks
Trend gateMixed
Fan width1.40%
Fast versus slow change0.74 pts
Above 50%
Below 0%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence
75% agreement
Negative regime, shorter trend repairing
The long trend remains negative, but shorter-horizon repair is now visible.
13-week
6.4%
26-week
-0.7%
39-week
-4.2%
52-week
-7.8%
Constituent trend persistence
100% coverage
Is the index move broadly durable?
32%positive
Coherent positive15%
Coherent negative12%
Average horizon agreement76%
Positive horizon share48%
Weakening positives2
Repairing negatives21
41 constituents measured as of 14 Aug 2026. Median trend age is 47 weeks.
Custom stage map
Where constituents sit in the cycle
Stage Analysis coverage is still building.
Capital rotation
Performance relative to TW Market Structure
Relative index
13-week relative trend
Starting level
A rising relative line means this group is compounding faster than TW Market Structure. A falling line means capital has done better in the parent benchmark.
Relative index85.9
13-week trend84.5
4-week trend change0.07%
Weekly peer rank7 of 11
1 week
-1.7 pts
relative
4 weeks
-2.0 pts
relative
13 weeks
0.6 pts
relative
26 weeks
-14.9 pts
relative
52 weeks
-29.4 pts
relative
Market internals
Participation, dispersion and path risk
Equal-weight index evidence with constituent-level breadth and dispersion.
Breadth
Narrow
Participation quality
41%
advanced
- Advancing
- 17
- Declining
- 23
- Unchanged
- 1
Risk and persistence
52-week lens
Path quality
Annualised weekly volatility14.4%
Drawdown from 52-week high-11.1%
Positive weeks, last 1346%
Current directional run2 weeks
Turnover versus 13-week norm75%
Breadth impulse-8.7 pts
Cross-section
41 measured
Return distribution
Q1 -1.2%
Median -0.5%
Q3 0.6%
Average winner2.8%
Average loser-2.1%
Dispersion3.1 pts
Top-five upside share61%
Top-five capital share45%
Capital data coverage100%
Dispersion describes how far constituent outcomes are spreading apart. Capital concentration is contextual only; the index itself is equal weighted.
Momentum cycle
30-week persistence
Positive readings show expansion. Negative readings show contraction.
Breadth cycle
Net participation
Advancers less decliners as a percentage of measured constituents.
Industry map
Where sector leadership is forming
Performance, breadth and trend acceptance across every qualified industry.
1/3
positive
Above Trend Line1/333% of industries
Constructive breadth1/3At least half advancing
Median industry-0.07%1.72 pts dispersion
#1
Repairing
Real Estate - Diversified
3.27%
Participation67%
vs Trend-1.9%
vs Fair Value-24.5%
Members3
#2
Contracting
Real Estate - Development
-0.07%
Participation38%
vs Trend-0.1%
vs Fair Value-8.9%
Members24
#3
Narrowing
Real Estate Services
-0.62%
Participation43%
vs Trend2.0%
vs Fair Value-7.1%
Members14
News and narrative
Does company news confirm the market tape?
Sentiment evidence is still developing
Qualified company-level news coverage is not yet broad enough to influence the group view.
0 qualified records across 41 measured constituents.Leadership tape
Leaders, laggards and contribution shape
Latest completed week, ranked on uncapped constituent returns.
Constituent ledger
Sector constituents
All 41 measured constituents, ranked by latest weekly return.
Rank
Ticker
Company
Exchange
Market cap
Close
Index contribution
Return
The index uses capped equal-weight weekly constituent returns. The ledger shows uncapped security returns so outliers remain visible for research.