- The trend backdrop is active with a 48-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ASML34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Latest close
161.0 BRL
6.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a -4.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 67/100.
Setup score
72
out of 100
Latest Close
161.0 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
15.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.2x
vs 13-week average
- 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.7%.
Indicator stack
96/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.70%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
67/100
32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a -4.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9112-week average 0.88
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.7% over four weeks, 15.4% over 12 weeks, and 125.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 48 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak48 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.30Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-70.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership26.98Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment67/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 32 relevant articles.
22 positive · 7 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.8%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-8.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+6.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.9% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Technology
4-week rank77 / 100
Group average6.1%
Trend breadth44.0%
Trend44.0%active weekly trend signals
MD67.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
4-week rank1 / 4
Group average-10.8%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape75/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 75/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis80/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.91; 7 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.70%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.70% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment67/100Weighted news tone is positive across 32 relevant articles.
4 Goldman Sachs Mutual Funds to Buy for Wealth Creation Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 161.0 BRL | 6.4% | 144.4 BRL | 91.76 BRL | 0.30 | 26.98 | 203.0K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 151.3 BRL | -6.0% | 143.1 BRL | 91.10 BRL | 0.52 | 16.89 | 112.0K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 160.9 BRL | -1.0% | 141.9 BRL | 90.50 BRL | 0.75 | 28.21 | 78.3K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 162.4 BRL | -3.9% | 140.1 BRL | 89.86 BRL | 0.88 | 31.02 | 129.9K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 169.0 BRL | -1.7% | 138.2 BRL | 89.20 BRL | 1.02 | 34.55 | 163.6K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 172.0 BRL | 2.3% | 136.1 BRL | 88.53 BRL | 1.04 | 41.14 | 18.8K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 168.0 BRL | -7.7% | 134.0 BRL | 87.81 BRL | 1.01 | 40.38 | 19.3K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 182.0 BRL | 6.0% | 131.8 BRL | 87.13 BRL | 0.90 | 58.01 | 3.4K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 171.6 BRL | 10.8% | 128.9 BRL | 86.35 BRL | 0.74 | 49.02 | 33.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 154.8 BRL | 5.2% | 126.3 BRL | 85.65 BRL | 0.47 | 37.88 | 29.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 147.2 BRL | -0.6% | 124.4 BRL | 85.05 BRL | 0.32 | 28.82 | 98.1K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 148.1 BRL | 6.1% | 123.0 BRL | 84.52 BRL | -0.01 | 28.90 | 162.6K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 139.5 BRL | -1.0% | 121.4 BRL | 83.99 BRL | -0.37 | 21.83 | 137.9K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 141.0 BRL | 9.5% | 120.1 BRL | 83.49 BRL | -0.62 | 19.39 | 126.7K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.