ENC MCE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ENCE Energía y Celulosa, S.A. · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

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Latest close 2.59 EUR
1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 7.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 2.59 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.0% latest completed week
4W Return 7.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.30% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 7.0%. Indicator stack 28/86 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 43.30% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 56.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 7.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2912-week average 0.21

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.29Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.0% over four weeks, 8.8% over 12 weeks, and -11.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.0%
4W7.0%
12W8.8%
26W13.1%
52W-11.7%
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change148.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.11Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change33.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.0%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-7.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryES Paper & Paper Products
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average1.2%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

ENC · MCE7.0%MCM · MCE-1.1%IBG · MCE-2.4%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis55/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.29; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.30%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.30% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

ENCE Energia y Celulosa SA Revenue Breakdown – BME:ENC Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20262.59 EUR1.0%2.39 EUR2.81 EUR1.33-11.111.3MOn
31 Jul 20262.57 EUR0.2%2.38 EUR2.81 EUR1.23-11.071.6MOn
24 Jul 20262.56 EUR7.1%2.38 EUR2.81 EUR0.94-11.064.3MOn
17 Jul 20262.39 EUR-1.2%2.37 EUR2.81 EUR0.58-16.131.2MOn
10 Jul 20262.42 EUR2.4%2.37 EUR2.81 EUR0.53-16.671.5MOn
3 Jul 20262.37 EUR3.0%2.37 EUR2.81 EUR0.50-21.35356.5KOff
26 Jun 20262.30 EUR-2.7%2.37 EUR2.82 EUR0.61-22.84193.9KOn
19 Jun 20262.36 EUR-3.0%2.37 EUR2.82 EUR0.77-21.27188.9KOn
12 Jun 20262.43 EUR-2.6%2.36 EUR2.82 EUR0.94-17.24332.1KOn
5 Jun 20262.50 EUR2.9%2.36 EUR2.82 EUR0.87-13.85277.3KOn
29 May 20262.43 EUR-1.9%2.37 EUR2.83 EUR0.88-17.062.0MOn
22 May 20262.48 EUR3.9%2.37 EUR2.83 EUR0.85-14.392.2MOff
15 May 20262.38 EUR-1.4%2.38 EUR2.83 EUR0.72-16.591.4MOff
8 May 20262.42 EUR-1.1%2.39 EUR2.84 EUR0.74-17.371.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context