- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CAE
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
CAE Inc. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
37.93 CAD
4.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 4.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
37.93 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
8.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.5%.
Indicator stack
29/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 4.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1912-week average 0.09
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.5% over four weeks, 8.2% over 12 weeks, and -3.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1951.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.39Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change22.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength8/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Value23/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Quality37/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework37/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 39.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 28.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 12.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -23.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -4.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.5%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Industrials
4-week rank16 / 62
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth59.7%
Trend59.7%active weekly trend signals
MD61.3%positive activity pressure
RS56.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank3 / 7
Group average4.2%
Trend breadth57.1%
Trend57.1%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS71.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis21/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Factors20/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 74; Small Cap Core rank 83 SVQF37/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 191.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
CAE Inc. (NYSE: CAE) files Form 25 to remove NYSE common share listing Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 37.93 CAD | 4.9% | 37.73 CAD | 32.97 CAD | 0.50 | -12.39 | 3.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 36.16 CAD | 1.8% | 37.99 CAD | 32.93 CAD | 0.35 | -14.26 | 4.3M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 35.51 CAD | 2.7% | 38.20 CAD | 32.88 CAD | 0.22 | -16.70 | 4.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 34.59 CAD | -4.7% | 38.45 CAD | 32.85 CAD | 0.13 | -19.17 | 4.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 36.31 CAD | -0.7% | 38.68 CAD | 32.81 CAD | 0.02 | -15.89 | 3.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 36.56 CAD | 1.1% | 38.84 CAD | 32.76 CAD | -0.21 | -15.74 | 238.8K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 36.17 CAD | 1.9% | 38.88 CAD | 32.71 CAD | -0.43 | -16.59 | 867.7K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 35.49 CAD | 0.3% | 38.95 CAD | 32.67 CAD | -0.46 | -18.65 | 1.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 35.39 CAD | -0.4% | 39.00 CAD | 32.62 CAD | -0.59 | -19.23 | 923.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 35.54 CAD | -0.4% | 39.05 CAD | 32.58 CAD | -0.75 | -18.11 | 772.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 35.69 CAD | 11.5% | 39.14 CAD | 32.53 CAD | -0.81 | -19.03 | 8.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 32.01 CAD | -8.6% | 39.26 CAD | 32.49 CAD | -1.07 | -27.11 | 7.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 35.04 CAD | -5.0% | 39.53 CAD | 32.47 CAD | -1.12 | -19.19 | 3.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 36.89 CAD | 5.0% | 39.64 CAD | 32.44 CAD | -1.06 | -15.95 | 3.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.