MBK GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Merkur PrivatBank KgaA · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Latest close 13.20 EUR
21.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 21.1%, after a 17.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 13.20 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 21.1% latest completed week
4W Return 17.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -7.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 26.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 21.1%, after a 17.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0712-week average 0.09

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.9% over four weeks, -7.7% over 12 weeks, and -25.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W21.1%
4W17.9%
12W-7.7%
26W-29.8%
52W-25.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change30.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-27.52Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change26.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 61% Model confidence 57%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength54/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Value50/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Quality50/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Momentum51/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Growth51/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
17.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
8.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-14.1%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+21.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains5
Flat weeks2
Modest losses13
Sharp losses4
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202613.20 EUR21.1%15.54 EUR15.21 EUR-1.13-27.527.1KOff
31 Jul 202610.90 EUR-2.7%15.73 EUR15.22 EUR-1.52-38.94686Off
24 Jul 202611.20 EUR0.0%16.01 EUR15.24 EUR-1.48-36.511.9KOff
17 Jul 202611.20 EUR0.0%16.25 EUR15.26 EUR-1.49-36.335.9KOff
10 Jul 202611.20 EUR-8.2%16.47 EUR15.28 EUR-1.63-37.373.0KOff
3 Jul 202612.20 EUR3.4%16.70 EUR15.30 EUR-1.74-34.086Off
26 Jun 202611.80 EUR-13.2%16.93 EUR15.31 EUR-1.76-33.78794Off
19 Jun 202613.60 EUR-2.9%17.17 EUR15.33 EUR-1.66-24.97528Off
12 Jun 202614.00 EUR-2.1%17.34 EUR15.34 EUR-1.62-21.91367Off
5 Jun 202614.30 EUR2.9%17.51 EUR15.35 EUR-1.51-20.800Off
29 May 202613.90 EUR-1.4%17.68 EUR15.34 EUR-1.42-24.164.0KOff
22 May 202614.10 EUR-1.4%17.86 EUR15.35 EUR-1.50-22.561.7KOff
15 May 202614.30 EUR2.1%18.04 EUR15.35 EUR-1.48-18.553.9KOff
8 May 202614.00 EUR-14.1%18.20 EUR15.35 EUR-1.49-21.633.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context