- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
DUR
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Duratec Limited · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Latest close
2.21 AUD
4.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a -7.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
2.21 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-14.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.9%.
Indicator stack
45/29
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a -7.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5212-week average 0.77
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.52Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.9% over four weeks, -14.0% over 12 weeks, and 57.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-38.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-138.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength59/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 25.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 18.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 4.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 3.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 46.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 3.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 4.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 99.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
5 positive · 11 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-11.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week+4.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Industrials
4-week rank90 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Engineering & Construction
4-week rank25 / 25
Group average4.1%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD64.0%positive activity pressure
RS72.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis48/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.52; 2 reversal markers Factors65/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 55; Small Cap Core rank 82 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
Duratec (ASX:DUR) Falls as Profit-Taking Hits the Industrial Contractor Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2.21 AUD | 4.2% | 2.44 AUD | 1.62 AUD | -1.02 | -4.50 | 2.4M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.12 AUD | -6.6% | 2.43 AUD | 1.62 AUD | -1.03 | -4.89 | 2.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.27 AUD | 2.3% | 2.42 AUD | 1.61 AUD | -1.09 | 4.77 | 1.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.22 AUD | -7.5% | 2.41 AUD | 1.60 AUD | -0.97 | 2.90 | 1.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.40 AUD | 1.3% | 2.39 AUD | 1.60 AUD | -0.74 | 11.84 | 1.5M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2.37 AUD | -11.2% | 2.37 AUD | 1.59 AUD | -0.64 | 10.86 | 565.5K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2.67 AUD | -6.3% | 2.36 AUD | 1.58 AUD | -0.39 | 27.10 | 90.0K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2.85 AUD | 8.4% | 2.33 AUD | 1.57 AUD | -0.39 | 36.19 | 175.2K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.63 AUD | -2.2% | 2.29 AUD | 1.56 AUD | -0.47 | 27.72 | 162.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.69 AUD | 5.5% | 2.26 AUD | 1.55 AUD | -0.27 | 34.82 | 1.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.55 AUD | 7.1% | 2.24 AUD | 1.54 AUD | -0.10 | 27.69 | 370.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.38 AUD | -7.4% | 2.22 AUD | 1.53 AUD | 0.30 | 21.40 | 2.4M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.57 AUD | -1.5% | 2.21 AUD | 1.52 AUD | 0.93 | 32.64 | 2.3M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.61 AUD | -4.4% | 2.19 AUD | 1.51 AUD | 1.42 | 34.32 | 1.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.