ASX Equity Snapshot

AQZ Weekly Report

Alliance Aviation Services Limited

Interactive chart JSON snapshot Download PDF
Latest week 17 Jul 2026
Exchange ASX
Country AU
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating

Caution

A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital, options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.

Evidence Score 43 Caution
Executive Read

Top-level conclusion

The strongest supporting evidence is svqf: Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

The main constraint is weekly tape: Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.

The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside.

Support

Primary driver

SVQF 82/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Restraint

Main constraint

Weekly tape 22/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.

Company Brief

What the company does

Alliance Aviation Services Limited provides contract, charter, and allied aviation services in Australia and internationally. The company offers specialized aviation services, including aircraft wet leasing, dry leasing, airport management, aircraft trading, parts sales, engine leasing, and engineering services. It serves corporate, government, tourism, educational and sporting customers, as well as mining and energy companies. Alliance Aviation Services Limited was founded in 2002 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

AQZ closed the latest completed week at 0.54 AUD. The 4-week return is 8.0% and the 12-week return is -12.2%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at 0.76. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 27/100 composite read.

Latest close 0.54 AUD
Latest week 0.9%
Four-week move 8.0%
Composite read 27/100
Trend backdrop Inactive
Activity pressure No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -26.9%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, activity pressure, relative leadership, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 0 Persistence of the active trend backdrop over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 57 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Activity Pressure 66 Latest activity pressure and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Leadership 0 Relative leadership and short-term leadership change.
Next-Week Expectancy 31 Historical one-week follow-through read for the latest completed-week setup state.
Volume 38 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Smart Money 20 Activity pressure and recent smart-money signal balance.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul
Weekly return bar Trend backdrop dot Positive activity-pressure dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price zone

Close Trend Fair
0.48 AUD 2.7% 2.68 AUD
Range location 2.7% Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance -26.9% Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap -77.0% Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap -79.8% Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

Latest close 0.54 AUD
Trend breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
1W 0.9%
4W 8.0%
12W -12.2%
26W -55.0%
52W -79.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
0
52W Active Breadth
0.0%
Sector Scope
AU Industrials
Sector Rank
42 of 130
Sector Percentile
68.2%
42 of 130
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

AU Airports & Air Services

Tracked Peers
2
4W Rank
1 of 2
Avg 1W
-1.2%
Avg 4W
4.9%
Trend Breadth
0.0%
Positive RS
50.0%
Trend 0.0% active weekly trend signals
MD 100.0% positive activity pressure
RS 50.0% positive relative leadership
AQZ in group 8.0% 4-week rank 1 of 2
AQZ · ASX 8.0% AIA · ASX 1.7%
Activity Pressure

Pressure, relative leadership, and next-week expectancy

Activity pressure and relative leadership show whether buying pressure and group strength are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Activity pressure Relative leadership

Pressure map

Activity pressure
Relative leadership
Pressure 0.76 Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change 30.0% Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership -58.25 Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change 11.4% Four-week change in relative leadership.
Next-week expectancy Negative 38.76% historical one-week setup read.
Indicator Analysis

Smart money, activity pressure, trend signals, and next-week expectancy

Recent confirmation shows whether the latest setup is supported by activity pressure, trend quality, relative leadership, and the short-term historical expectancy read.

Activity pressure path

Activity pressure Latest 0.06 12W avg 0.04

Next-week expectancy over time

Positive / negative next-week read Current Negative 38.76%

12-week confirmation

Trend active 0/12 Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure 10/12 Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership 0/12 Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure 0.06 Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals 0 Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers 0 No reversal markers

Smart money activity

Support markers
0
Risk markers
0
Pressure positive weeks
0
Score input
50/100

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

Volume and return confirmation

Participation read

Participation 0.9x Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline 1.3M 13-week average volume.
One-year base 1.5M 52-week average volume.
Latest 1.2M Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Return shape

Strong gains 3
Modest gains 3
Flat weeks 1
Modest losses 8
Sharp losses 11
Recent vol 5.4% 13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol 9.2% 52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split 16/35 Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew 6.0% / -6.5% Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence

Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context

These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.

Options and sentiment

Sentiment
44/100
Articles
25 relevant

Earnings, insiders, and research flow

Earnings
-
Insiders
-
News
0 articles
Market Watch
0 posts
Evidence Matrix

Scorecard by research pillar

Weekly tape 22/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis 27/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Next-Week Expectancy Negative 38.76%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.76% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors 68/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 97; Buyback Yield rank 52; Small Cap Core rank 1 SVQF 82/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 46.0 of 258 Patient Capital Quiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment 44/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.

Why Did Joby Aviation Stock Fall Below $10? Insiders 50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings 50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Latest Sharemaestro research

  • No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.

Latest Market Watch posts

  • No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
ASX
Country
AU
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Airports & Air Services
Currency
AUD
Market Cap
91.0M

Opportunity signals

  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.76% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value Pressure Leadership Volume Signal
17 Jul 2026 0.54 AUD 0.9% 0.74 AUD 2.35 AUD 0.76 -58.25 1.2M Off
10 Jul 2026 0.54 AUD -8.5% 0.76 AUD 2.36 AUD 0.90 -59.93 954.6K Off
3 Jul 2026 0.58 AUD 2.6% 0.79 AUD 2.38 AUD 0.84 -57.70 2.3M Off
26 Jun 2026 0.57 AUD 14.0% 0.81 AUD 2.39 AUD 0.73 -59.60 4.0M Off
19 Jun 2026 0.50 AUD 0.0% 0.84 AUD 2.41 AUD 0.58 -65.79 3.1M Off
12 Jun 2026 0.50 AUD -4.8% 0.86 AUD 2.42 AUD 0.46 -66.45 380.2K Off
5 Jun 2026 0.53 AUD -7.1% 0.89 AUD 2.44 AUD 0.46 -64.98 838.5K Off
29 May 2026 0.56 AUD -0.9% 0.92 AUD 2.45 AUD 0.40 -63.72 217.7K Off
22 May 2026 0.57 AUD -3.4% 0.98 AUD 2.47 AUD 0.30 -63.99 686.8K Off
15 May 2026 0.59 AUD -4.8% 1.05 AUD 2.48 AUD 0.15 -63.47 979.7K Off
8 May 2026 0.62 AUD 2.5% 1.11 AUD 2.50 AUD -0.04 -63.02 646.3K Off
1 May 2026 0.60 AUD -1.6% 1.16 AUD 2.51 AUD -0.24 -64.70 482.2K Off
24 Apr 2026 0.61 AUD -2.4% 1.21 AUD 2.53 AUD -0.52 -65.17 749.8K Off
17 Apr 2026 0.63 AUD -3.1% 1.26 AUD 2.55 AUD -0.69 -65.79 822.0K Off

Evidence rating

The evidence rating is the top-level Sharemaestro read. It blends market structure, trend evidence, activity pressure, value and quality context, options pressure, news tone, events, and research flow into a single directional summary.

Positive means the evidence stack is supportive. Neutral means the evidence is mixed or still forming. Caution or negative means the balance of evidence is less supportive and risk control matters more.

Weekly tape

The weekly tape is a completed-week view. It focuses on whether price, trend, activity, relative leadership, volume, and risk are confirming each other rather than reacting to a single noisy session.

Evidence scorecard

The scorecard separates the report into research pillars. A high score is supportive, a low score is restrictive, and neutral means that pillar is either balanced or not yet carrying enough evidence.

The purpose is not to force a trade call. It shows which parts of the evidence stack are helping, which parts are restraining, and where to drill down.

Setup cockpit

The cockpit compresses the broad setup into a radar and scoreboard. It is designed to show whether the current move has breadth across trend, activity, leadership, participation, and risk control.

Price context

Price context asks whether the stock is moving with or against its weekly structure. The Trend Line is the directional backdrop, Fair Value is the current valuation reference point, and the range map shows where price sits inside its recent trading range.

Pressure and next-week expectancy

Activity pressure looks for evidence that participation is supporting the move. Relative leadership compares the stock against its market backdrop. Next-week expectancy is a historical one-week follow-through read for similar setup states; it is not a broad trend call.

Indicator analysis

This section looks at whether the latest move is supported by the internal Sharemaestro indicator stack. The emphasis is on confirmation, persistence, and risk markers, not a single isolated reading.

Options pressure

Options pressure shows whether the options market is leaning bullish, bearish, mixed, or volatility-focused. It is supporting evidence only: options can confirm a setup, reveal disagreement, or highlight event risk.

Options involve substantial risk and can lose value rapidly. This report is educational market research, not investment or trading advice.