AQZ ASX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alliance Aviation Services Limited · Industrials · Airports & Air Services

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Latest close 0.83 AUD
38.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 21.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 15.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 38.3%, after a 55.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 0.83 AUD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 38.3% latest completed week
4W Return 55.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 40.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 6.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 37.35% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 38.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 55.1%. Indicator stack 0/70 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 37.35% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 21.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 15.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 38.3%, after a 55.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 6.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 55.1% over four weeks, 40.7% over 12 weeks, and -68.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W38.3%
4W55.1%
12W40.7%
26W-19.4%
52W-68.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change37.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-33.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change44.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 43%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength81/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality86/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth85/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework83/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
2.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
2.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-12.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
64.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-9.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
19.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-5.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

1 positive · 16 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-68.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+38.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-17.9%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week+38.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses7
Sharp losses10
Recent vol12.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split16/35Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.2% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAU Airports & Air Services
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average27.7%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

AQZ · ASX55.1%AIA · ASX0.3%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape29/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis31/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.35%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.35% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors68/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 90; Buyback Yield rank 52; Small Cap Core rank 1 SVQF83/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 45.5 of 257 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

Alliance Aviation Services (ASX:AQZ) Jumps as Qantas Contract Reset Targets Better FY27 Returns Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20260.83 AUD38.3%0.68 AUD2.29 AUD0.93-33.1312.0MOff
31 Jul 20260.60 AUD15.4%0.69 AUD2.31 AUD0.79-51.563.1MOff
24 Jul 20260.52 AUD-3.7%0.71 AUD2.33 AUD0.61-58.361.2MOff
17 Jul 20260.54 AUD0.9%0.74 AUD2.35 AUD0.66-58.251.2MOff
10 Jul 20260.54 AUD-8.5%0.76 AUD2.36 AUD0.68-59.93954.6KOff
3 Jul 20260.58 AUD2.6%0.79 AUD2.38 AUD0.59-57.70111.9KOff
26 Jun 20260.57 AUD14.0%0.81 AUD2.39 AUD0.57-59.60581.0KOff
19 Jun 20260.50 AUD0.0%0.84 AUD2.41 AUD0.51-65.791.2MOff
12 Jun 20260.50 AUD-4.8%0.86 AUD2.42 AUD0.46-66.45380.2KOff
5 Jun 20260.53 AUD-7.1%0.89 AUD2.44 AUD0.46-64.98838.5KOff
29 May 20260.56 AUD-0.9%0.92 AUD2.45 AUD0.40-63.72217.7KOff
22 May 20260.57 AUD-3.4%0.98 AUD2.47 AUD0.30-63.99686.8KOff
15 May 20260.59 AUD-4.8%1.05 AUD2.48 AUD0.15-63.47979.7KOff
8 May 20260.62 AUD2.5%1.11 AUD2.50 AUD-0.04-63.02646.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context