HEI GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Heidelberg Materials AG · Basic Materials · Building Materials

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Latest close 160.9 EUR
-0.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a -6.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 160.9 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.1% latest completed week
4W Return -6.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.45% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.0%. Indicator stack 29/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 60.45% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 37 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a -6.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1712-week average 0.15

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.0% over four weeks, -4.9% over 12 weeks, and -22.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.1%
4W-6.0%
12W-4.9%
26W-23.8%
52W-22.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.47Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-2602.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-51.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 72%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength75/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality75/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth43/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework66/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
64.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
10.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
1.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

3 positive · 33 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-12.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week-0.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Building Materials
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average-4.8%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

WIB · GER-2.9%HLBN · GER-5.6%HEI · GER-6.0%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape29/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis17/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.45%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.45% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors61/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 25; Small Cap Core rank 34 SVQF66/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 127.5 of 375 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

Heidelberg Materials (XTRA:HEI) Stock Price Hinges On Cheap Valuation After Profit Drop Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026160.9 EUR-0.1%183.9 EUR137.5 EUR-0.47-22.571.9MOff
31 Jul 2026161.0 EUR-4.3%186.1 EUR136.9 EUR-0.33-20.892.1MOff
24 Jul 2026168.3 EUR-3.2%188.0 EUR136.3 EUR-0.28-15.911.4MOff
17 Jul 2026173.9 EUR1.7%189.6 EUR135.7 EUR-0.12-12.431.6MOff
10 Jul 2026171.1 EUR-2.7%191.0 EUR135.0 EUR-0.02-14.881.7MOff
3 Jul 2026175.9 EUR-4.6%192.6 EUR134.3 EUR0.03-15.22306.1KOff
26 Jun 2026184.4 EUR-0.3%193.9 EUR133.6 EUR0.07-7.36267.8KOff
19 Jun 2026184.9 EUR1.5%195.0 EUR132.9 EUR0.10-8.43735.4KOff
12 Jun 2026182.1 EUR1.6%195.6 EUR132.1 EUR-0.01-8.52500.2KOff
5 Jun 2026179.2 EUR-6.1%196.3 EUR131.4 EUR-0.18-10.41234.3KOff
29 May 2026190.8 EUR9.2%196.7 EUR130.7 EUR-0.28-5.961.9MOff
22 May 2026174.6 EUR3.3%197.0 EUR129.9 EUR-0.52-13.061.8MOff
15 May 2026169.1 EUR-6.1%197.7 EUR129.2 EUR-0.69-12.581.6MOff
8 May 2026180.2 EUR-2.4%198.3 EUR128.5 EUR-0.69-8.502.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context