- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.46% based on similar historical setup states.
WGN
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Wagners Holding Company Limited · Basic Materials · Building Materials
Latest close
4.35 AUD
7.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.7%, after a 4.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
4.35 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
7.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
94.2%
49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
7.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.8%.
Indicator stack
52/10
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.46%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
57/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.7%, after a 4.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5312-week average 0.70
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.53Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.8% over four weeks, -5.4% over 12 weeks, and 114.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.09Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-256.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-30.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 25%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality89/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Momentum98/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework20/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 84.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 20.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 51.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 7.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 10.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 8.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 1.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 229.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 2864.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
4 positive · 10 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week+7.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank65 / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Building Materials
4-week rank3 / 4
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape53/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis59/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.53; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.46%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.46% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors59/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 64; Small Cap Core rank 94 SVQF20/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 206.5 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Price to earnings forward of Wagners Holding Co. Ltd. – ASX:WGN Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4.35 AUD | 7.7% | 4.23 AUD | 2.04 AUD | -1.09 | 11.25 | 1.4M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.04 AUD | 1.0% | 4.21 AUD | 2.01 AUD | -1.10 | 7.80 | 1.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.00 AUD | -2.2% | 4.20 AUD | 1.99 AUD | -1.04 | 10.30 | 1.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.09 AUD | -1.4% | 4.18 AUD | 1.97 AUD | -0.60 | 13.55 | 2.1M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.15 AUD | -5.9% | 4.17 AUD | 1.95 AUD | -0.30 | 16.24 | 2.9M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.41 AUD | -9.3% | 4.15 AUD | 1.93 AUD | -0.20 | 24.17 | 718.5K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.86 AUD | 1.3% | 4.12 AUD | 1.90 AUD | -0.21 | 39.70 | 277.1K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.80 AUD | 5.7% | 4.08 AUD | 1.88 AUD | -0.28 | 38.96 | 470.8K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.54 AUD | 5.1% | 4.03 AUD | 1.85 AUD | -0.16 | 33.83 | 663.9K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.32 AUD | -5.9% | 3.99 AUD | 1.83 AUD | 0.06 | 31.94 | 554.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.59 AUD | -1.3% | 3.96 AUD | 1.81 AUD | 0.49 | 40.47 | 2.4M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.65 AUD | 1.1% | 3.89 AUD | 1.78 AUD | 0.53 | 45.65 | 1.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.60 AUD | -2.1% | 3.83 AUD | 1.76 AUD | 0.33 | 46.73 | 1.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.70 AUD | 3.1% | 3.77 AUD | 1.73 AUD | 0.09 | 50.34 | 2.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.