- The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
BFG
MIL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
B.F. S.p.A. · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Latest close
5.10 EUR
-0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a 4.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
52
out of 100
Latest Close
5.10 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
2.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.0x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.80% based on similar historical setup states.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.9%.
Indicator stack
70/43
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.80%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a 4.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7812-week average 0.84
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.78Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.9% over four weeks, 2.2% over 12 weeks, and 19.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-93.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.88Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change54.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.0%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-4.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks6
Modest losses7
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.1% / -1.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIT Consumer Defensive
4-week rank5 / 19
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth21.1%
Trend21.1%active weekly trend signals
MD52.6%positive activity pressure
RS10.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIT Farm Products
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape52/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis68/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.78; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.80%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.80% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
B.F. S.p.A. Revenue Breakdown – FWB:SR4 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.10 EUR | -0.4% | 4.69 EUR | 4.14 EUR | 0.05 | -2.88 | 43.1K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.12 EUR | 3.8% | 4.66 EUR | 4.13 EUR | 0.24 | 0.27 | 616.4K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.93 EUR | 1.2% | 4.62 EUR | 4.12 EUR | 0.48 | -2.94 | 1.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.87 EUR | 0.2% | 4.60 EUR | 4.12 EUR | 0.64 | -4.51 | 203.7K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.86 EUR | -1.6% | 4.57 EUR | 4.11 EUR | 0.83 | -6.29 | 532.3K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.94 EUR | -0.5% | 4.54 EUR | 4.10 EUR | 0.98 | -5.44 | 28.7K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.97 EUR | 0.0% | 4.52 EUR | 4.09 EUR | 1.03 | -2.31 | 100.0K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.97 EUR | 0.0% | 4.50 EUR | 4.08 EUR | 1.15 | -5.40 | 61.5K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.97 EUR | 0.2% | 4.48 EUR | 4.08 EUR | 1.19 | -3.17 | 17.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.96 EUR | 0.2% | 4.45 EUR | 4.07 EUR | 1.22 | -0.48 | 4.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.95 EUR | 0.0% | 4.43 EUR | 4.06 EUR | 1.28 | -1.07 | 10.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.95 EUR | -0.8% | 4.41 EUR | 4.05 EUR | 1.26 | -0.18 | 320.5K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.99 EUR | 0.4% | 4.39 EUR | 4.04 EUR | 1.34 | 1.27 | 146.2K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.97 EUR | 0.0% | 4.37 EUR | 4.03 EUR | 1.13 | 0.42 | 701.6K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.