- The trend backdrop is active with a 121-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
X5N
SES
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Avarga Ltd · Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Latest close
2.66 SGD
-0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -0.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
61
out of 100
Latest Close
2.66 SGD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
4.2x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.94% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.7%.
Indicator stack
100/39
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.94%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -0.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 4.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7212-week average 0.77
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.7% over four weeks, -0.4% over 12 weeks, and 51.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 121 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak121 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change8.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-178.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
1 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility0.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.7%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-2.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains8
Flat weeks6
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol0.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSG Industrials
4-week rank51 / 100
Group average-1.1%
Trend breadth24.0%
Trend24.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS15.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySG Industrial Distribution
4-week rank2 / 4
Group average4.4%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape62/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis65/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.72; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.94%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.94% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Avarga Shareholders Approve Scheme of Arrangement for Take-Private Offer by TKO Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2.66 SGD | -0.4% | 2.58 SGD | 1.73 SGD | -0.63 | -8.19 | 486.8K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.67 SGD | 0.8% | 2.57 SGD | 1.72 SGD | -0.59 | -6.51 | 365.1K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.65 SGD | -0.4% | 2.55 SGD | 1.71 SGD | -0.64 | -6.41 | 50.3K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.66 SGD | -0.7% | 2.54 SGD | 1.70 SGD | -0.64 | -4.54 | 107.8K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.68 SGD | -0.7% | 2.53 SGD | 1.69 SGD | -0.69 | -2.94 | 93.4K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2.70 SGD | 1.5% | 2.51 SGD | 1.68 SGD | -0.59 | 2.15 | 300 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2.66 SGD | -1.1% | 2.49 SGD | 1.68 SGD | -0.46 | 1.90 | 3.7K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2.69 SGD | 0.0% | 2.47 SGD | 1.67 SGD | -0.19 | 3.24 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.69 SGD | 0.4% | 2.46 SGD | 1.66 SGD | 0.09 | 6.87 | 1.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.68 SGD | 0.0% | 2.45 SGD | 1.65 SGD | 0.33 | 6.31 | 45.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.68 SGD | -0.4% | 2.43 SGD | 1.64 SGD | 0.53 | 6.91 | 25.1K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.69 SGD | 0.7% | 2.42 SGD | 1.63 SGD | 0.72 | 7.07 | 52.0K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.67 SGD | 0.0% | 2.41 SGD | 1.62 SGD | 0.89 | 8.25 | 270.1K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.67 SGD | -0.4% | 2.39 SGD | 1.61 SGD | 0.99 | 10.34 | 45.0K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.