- The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
MB
MIL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario S.p.A. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
28.64 EUR
2.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 37.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 5.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
75
out of 100
Latest Close
28.64 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
39.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
48.1%
25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.4%.
Indicator stack
71/76
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.68%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 37.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 5.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 1.0012-week average 0.84
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure1.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.4% over four weeks, 39.9% over 12 weeks, and 45.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change6.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership28.59Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
2 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.2%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-14.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIT Financial Services
4-week rank14 / 31
Group average2.6%
Trend breadth67.7%
Trend67.7%active weekly trend signals
MD67.7%positive activity pressure
RS45.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIT Banks - Regional
4-week rank9 / 12
Group average7.1%
Trend breadth83.3%
Trend83.3%active weekly trend signals
MD83.3%positive activity pressure
RS83.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape73/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 73/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis88/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 1.00; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.68%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.68% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Assessing Mediobanca (BIT:MB) Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum And Overvaluation Signals Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 28.64 EUR | 2.8% | 20.87 EUR | 15.03 EUR | 1.43 | 28.59 | 2.0M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 27.85 EUR | 0.1% | 20.50 EUR | 14.91 EUR | 1.43 | 29.10 | 2.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 27.81 EUR | 3.2% | 20.15 EUR | 14.79 EUR | 1.39 | 30.39 | 2.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 26.96 EUR | -0.8% | 19.79 EUR | 14.67 EUR | 1.37 | 26.83 | 2.6M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 27.18 EUR | 1.8% | 19.46 EUR | 14.56 EUR | 1.33 | 26.63 | 2.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 26.70 EUR | 3.0% | 19.09 EUR | 14.44 EUR | 1.31 | 24.44 | 365.2K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 25.93 EUR | -1.3% | 18.72 EUR | 14.33 EUR | 1.21 | 24.90 | 543.9K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 26.27 EUR | 1.9% | 18.40 EUR | 14.21 EUR | 1.17 | 23.01 | 1.1M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 25.77 EUR | 19.2% | 18.07 EUR | 14.10 EUR | 1.10 | 24.06 | 1.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 21.62 EUR | -2.6% | 17.77 EUR | 13.99 EUR | 0.98 | 7.65 | 670.9K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 22.19 EUR | 5.7% | 17.56 EUR | 13.91 EUR | 0.96 | 10.03 | 4.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 21.00 EUR | 2.6% | 17.34 EUR | 13.82 EUR | 0.86 | 5.01 | 4.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 20.47 EUR | 0.6% | 17.14 EUR | 13.74 EUR | 0.75 | 2.90 | 5.9M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 20.35 EUR | 2.5% | 16.96 EUR | 13.66 EUR | 0.82 | 1.67 | 6.2M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.