- The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
FMNB
NASDAQ
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Farmers National Banc Corp · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
15.69 USD
-1.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 9.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 69d.
Setup score
64
out of 100
Latest Close
15.69 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
9.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
16.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
51.9%
27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.30% based on similar historical setup states.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 9.6%.
Indicator stack
74/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.30%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
49/100 conviction; expected move 8.7%.
News sentiment
55/100
44 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
69d
Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 9.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9912-week average 0.87
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 9.6% over four weeks, 16.1% over 12 weeks, and 21.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.30Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-0.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change104.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength74/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Value68/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Quality82/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Momentum28/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework66/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 15.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 15.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 66.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 25.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 26.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 3.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 18.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -4.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
FMNB shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 8.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction49/100
Expected move8.7%
Put/call volume0.00
Insider activity12 / 2
12 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.
15 positive · 23 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings69dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.5%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-4.9%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-1.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.7%
Trend breadth73.0%
Trend73.0%active weekly trend signals
MD86.0%positive activity pressure
RS46.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Banks - Regional
4-week rank- / 100
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth89.0%
Trend89.0%active weekly trend signals
MD90.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape62/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis75/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.99; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.30%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.30% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors64/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 56; Small Cap Core rank 38 SVQF66/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 248.0 of 718 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options46/100FMNB shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 8.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.7% Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.
Farmers National Banc Corp (FMNB) Stock News Today Insiders12 / 212 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings69dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 15.69 USD | -1.1% | 13.80 USD | 12.70 USD | 1.30 | 0.44 | 1.9M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 15.86 USD | 4.4% | 13.71 USD | 12.68 USD | 1.19 | 6.61 | 2.4M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 15.19 USD | 3.8% | 13.61 USD | 12.65 USD | 1.18 | 2.69 | 2.5M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 14.64 USD | 2.3% | 13.55 USD | 12.63 USD | 1.25 | -2.65 | 1.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 14.31 USD | -2.3% | 13.52 USD | 12.61 USD | 1.30 | -9.02 | 1.9M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 14.64 USD | -0.9% | 13.51 USD | 12.59 USD | 1.41 | -5.61 | 2.0M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 14.77 USD | 4.5% | 13.47 USD | 12.56 USD | 1.31 | -4.36 | 3.9M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 14.14 USD | -2.7% | 13.41 USD | 12.54 USD | 1.03 | -12.79 | 2.6M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 14.53 USD | 3.6% | 13.37 USD | 12.52 USD | 0.86 | -8.34 | 1.8M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 14.03 USD | 0.1% | 13.31 USD | 12.50 USD | 0.63 | -9.74 | 2.0M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 14.02 USD | 0.3% | 13.27 USD | 12.48 USD | 0.62 | -14.15 | 1.1M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 13.98 USD | 3.4% | 13.22 USD | 12.45 USD | 0.71 | -12.30 | 1.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 13.51 USD | -3.5% | 13.19 USD | 12.43 USD | 0.79 | -14.53 | 1.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 14.01 USD | -0.3% | 13.18 USD | 12.41 USD | 0.93 | -12.13 | 1.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.