DOL TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Dollarama Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

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Latest close 192.6 CAD
0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 4.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 46/100.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 192.6 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return 4.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.02% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.0%. Indicator stack 30/70 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.02% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 46/100 21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 4.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4212-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.42Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.0% over four weeks, 13.3% over 12 weeks, and 1.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.8%
4W4.0%
12W13.3%
26W0.2%
52W1.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.87Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change55.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change22.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 92%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength15/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth74/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
39.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
22.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
23.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
19.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
19.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
13.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
5.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment46/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

4 positive · 9 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.4%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-7.7%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Discount Stores
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average3.7%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

DOL · TOR4.0%COST · TOR3.4%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape46/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis20/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.42; 9 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.02%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.02% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors33/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 15; Small Cap Core rank 95 SVQF36/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 195.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment46/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

Dollarama Inc. stock falls Tuesday, underperforms market Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026192.6 CAD0.8%184.5 CAD149.4 CAD0.87-9.032.3MOff
31 Jul 2026191.0 CAD3.4%184.7 CAD148.7 CAD0.86-7.313.1MOff
24 Jul 2026184.7 CAD-3.2%185.2 CAD148.0 CAD0.75-11.193.9MOff
17 Jul 2026190.9 CAD3.0%185.9 CAD147.4 CAD0.72-8.402.9MOff
10 Jul 2026185.2 CAD-1.5%186.3 CAD146.7 CAD0.56-11.623.1MOff
3 Jul 2026188.0 CAD-3.0%186.9 CAD146.1 CAD0.44-10.68339.6KOff
26 Jun 2026193.8 CAD3.8%187.3 CAD145.5 CAD0.20-7.72906.3KOff
19 Jun 2026186.8 CAD-2.1%187.5 CAD144.8 CAD-0.04-11.491.7MOff
12 Jun 2026190.8 CAD5.4%187.8 CAD144.1 CAD-0.25-9.99850.3KOff
5 Jun 2026181.1 CAD2.7%188.0 CAD143.5 CAD-0.58-13.771.1MOff
29 May 2026176.3 CAD-1.4%188.1 CAD142.8 CAD-0.66-17.274.3MOff
22 May 2026178.8 CAD5.2%188.3 CAD142.2 CAD-0.78-15.813.2MOff
15 May 2026170.0 CAD-2.2%188.5 CAD141.6 CAD-0.92-18.803.1MOff
8 May 2026173.8 CAD-0.1%188.9 CAD141.1 CAD-0.90-17.963.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context