- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
9988
HKG
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Latest close
123.8 HKD
5.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.8%, after a 12.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
123.8 HKD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
5.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.3%.
Indicator stack
24/62
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
57/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 36.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.8%, after a 12.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.03
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.3% over four weeks, -6.3% over 12 weeks, and 6.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change117.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change34.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
7 positive · 8 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.1%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-14.7%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+5.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses10
Recent vol7.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank13 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth11.0%
Trend11.0%active weekly trend signals
MD39.0%positive activity pressure
RS24.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Internet Retail
4-week rank5 / 12
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
China Earnings to Test Rotation From AI to Internet Stocks Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 123.8 HKD | 5.8% | 128.8 HKD | 105.9 HKD | 0.15 | -9.83 | 536.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 117.0 HKD | 6.4% | 129.6 HKD | 105.7 HKD | -0.06 | -15.45 | 446.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 110.0 HKD | -2.3% | 130.6 HKD | 105.5 HKD | -0.43 | -17.65 | 504.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 112.6 HKD | 2.2% | 131.8 HKD | 105.4 HKD | -0.67 | -14.40 | 593.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 110.2 HKD | 17.1% | 132.9 HKD | 105.3 HKD | -0.84 | -14.91 | 758.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 94.10 HKD | 5.1% | 134.4 HKD | 105.2 HKD | -1.06 | -24.71 | 67.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 89.50 HKD | -14.7% | 136.4 HKD | 105.1 HKD | -0.87 | -26.35 | 176.2M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 104.9 HKD | -4.8% | 138.5 HKD | 105.1 HKD | -0.67 | -18.39 | 384.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 110.2 HKD | -9.9% | 139.9 HKD | 104.9 HKD | -0.58 | -17.13 | 74.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 122.3 HKD | 1.2% | 141.4 HKD | 104.8 HKD | -0.40 | -9.03 | 76.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 120.8 HKD | -4.8% | 142.7 HKD | 104.6 HKD | -0.39 | -10.93 | 376.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 126.9 HKD | -4.0% | 144.1 HKD | 104.3 HKD | -0.59 | -8.01 | 427.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 132.2 HKD | -4.8% | 145.5 HKD | 104.0 HKD | -0.80 | -5.51 | 506.5M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 138.8 HKD | 10.3% | 146.3 HKD | 103.7 HKD | -0.91 | -2.41 | 384.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.