- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
9618
HKG
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
JD.com, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Latest close
127.5 HKD
0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 15.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 45/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
53
out of 100
Latest Close
127.5 HKD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
15.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
11.5%
6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.58% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 15.7%.
Indicator stack
13/66
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 36.58%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
45/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 15.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2712-week average 0.38
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.27Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 15.7% over four weeks, -0.3% over 12 weeks, and 4.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change139.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.29Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change18723.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment45/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
0 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.1%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-11.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank7 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth11.0%
Trend11.0%active weekly trend signals
MD39.0%positive activity pressure
RS24.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Internet Retail
4-week rank4 / 12
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape47/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis47/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.27; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 36.58%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.58% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment45/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
China factory-gate inflation slows more than expected in July Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 127.5 HKD | 0.3% | 113.1 HKD | 120.7 HKD | 0.28 | 9.29 | 30.2M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 127.1 HKD | 7.6% | 112.7 HKD | 120.8 HKD | 0.10 | 8.06 | 62.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 118.1 HKD | 1.5% | 112.3 HKD | 120.9 HKD | -0.33 | 4.08 | 41.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 116.3 HKD | 5.5% | 112.1 HKD | 121.1 HKD | -0.62 | 4.00 | 49.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 110.2 HKD | 5.8% | 111.9 HKD | 121.3 HKD | -0.72 | -0.05 | 49.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 104.2 HKD | 8.5% | 112.0 HKD | 121.6 HKD | -0.67 | -2.37 | 9.0M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 96.00 HKD | -11.8% | 112.5 HKD | 121.8 HKD | -0.33 | -7.64 | 11.9M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 108.9 HKD | -3.3% | 113.1 HKD | 122.0 HKD | 0.14 | -1.17 | 32.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 112.6 HKD | -2.8% | 113.2 HKD | 122.2 HKD | 0.52 | -1.41 | 20.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 115.8 HKD | 2.0% | 113.3 HKD | 122.4 HKD | 0.87 | 0.05 | 14.9M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 113.5 HKD | -6.7% | 113.5 HKD | 122.6 HKD | 1.03 | -3.10 | 63.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 121.7 HKD | -4.8% | 114.0 HKD | 122.8 HKD | 1.05 | 1.76 | 53.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 127.9 HKD | 7.9% | 114.2 HKD | 122.8 HKD | 1.01 | 5.13 | 85.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 118.5 HKD | 1.9% | 114.1 HKD | 122.9 HKD | 0.97 | -4.46 | 41.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.