- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
COCE5
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Companhia Energética do Ceará - COELCE · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Latest close
33.99 BRL
-5.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.5%, after a 12.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
59
out of 100
Latest Close
33.99 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-5.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
88.5%
46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-5.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.2%.
Indicator stack
56/52
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.5%, after a 12.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4212-week average 0.64
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.42Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.2% over four weeks, 4.1% over 12 weeks, and 25.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change72.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change184.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-5.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-5.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Utilities
4-week rank1 / 62
Group average-4.5%
Trend breadth17.7%
Trend17.7%active weekly trend signals
MD19.4%positive activity pressure
RS22.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Utilities - Regulated Electric
4-week rank1 / 37
Group average-2.8%
Trend breadth24.3%
Trend24.3%active weekly trend signals
MD16.2%positive activity pressure
RS32.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape57/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 57/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis44/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.42; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 33.99 BRL | -5.5% | 31.53 BRL | 29.74 BRL | -0.19 | 6.84 | 21.2K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 35.98 BRL | 12.6% | 31.51 BRL | 29.80 BRL | -0.33 | 9.58 | 114.9K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 31.96 BRL | 6.5% | 31.39 BRL | 29.86 BRL | -0.77 | -0.51 | 35.3K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 30.01 BRL | -1.0% | 31.40 BRL | 29.95 BRL | -0.78 | -6.55 | 103.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 30.30 BRL | 0.4% | 31.42 BRL | 30.06 BRL | -0.70 | -8.10 | 80.8K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 30.18 BRL | -1.9% | 31.45 BRL | 30.18 BRL | -0.66 | -6.75 | 17.6K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 30.75 BRL | -1.3% | 31.47 BRL | 30.29 BRL | -0.45 | -4.62 | 6.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 31.15 BRL | 0.5% | 31.43 BRL | 30.42 BRL | -0.13 | -0.74 | 4.8K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 31.01 BRL | -2.8% | 31.40 BRL | 30.54 BRL | 0.22 | -2.66 | 22.3K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 31.90 BRL | -4.7% | 31.41 BRL | 30.66 BRL | 0.57 | 1.43 | 14.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 33.46 BRL | 2.2% | 31.33 BRL | 30.77 BRL | 0.94 | 3.54 | 24.9K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 32.75 BRL | 0.3% | 31.14 BRL | 30.84 BRL | 0.95 | -0.00 | 75.0K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 32.66 BRL | -4.4% | 30.98 BRL | 30.92 BRL | 0.89 | -0.81 | 70.4K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 34.17 BRL | 3.3% | 30.83 BRL | 31.01 BRL | 0.64 | -0.00 | 114.3K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.