4417 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Global Security Experts Inc. · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Latest close 4,965 JPY
8.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 58.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.4%, after a 24.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 67/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 4,965 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 8.4% latest completed week
4W Return 24.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 76.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 58.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.4%, after a 24.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.52

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 24.7% over four weeks, 76.8% over 12 weeks, and 48.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.4%
4W24.7%
12W76.8%
26W84.7%
52W48.6%
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change51.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership28.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1398.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment67/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 7 relevant articles.

4 positive · 2 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-10.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+8.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol9.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.6% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20264,965 JPY8.4%3,134 JPY2,776 JPY1.5028.26348.7KOn
31 Jul 20264,580 JPY8.3%3,083 JPY2,760 JPY1.4420.44296.8KOn
24 Jul 20264,230 JPY-3.0%3,036 JPY2,747 JPY1.3510.54186.6KOn
17 Jul 20264,360 JPY9.5%3,002 JPY2,739 JPY1.2114.61382.9KOn
10 Jul 20263,980 JPY-5.5%2,953 JPY2,729 JPY0.99-2.18328.0KOn
3 Jul 20264,210 JPY27.2%2,921 JPY2,723 JPY0.751.25141.8KOn
26 Jun 20263,310 JPY1.7%2,889 JPY2,717 JPY0.60-20.3060.7KOff
19 Jun 20263,255 JPY9.7%2,894 JPY2,716 JPY0.72-24.4840.5KOff
12 Jun 20262,968 JPY-3.0%2,896 JPY2,715 JPY0.83-26.4741.6KOff
5 Jun 20263,060 JPY-10.9%2,914 JPY2,718 JPY0.90-25.7563.5KOff
29 May 20263,435 JPY5.4%2,928 JPY2,719 JPY0.92-17.32510.2KOff
22 May 20263,260 JPY16.1%2,936 JPY2,713 JPY0.66-18.62482.0KOff
15 May 20262,809 JPY-3.4%2,964 JPY2,705 JPY0.06-28.35507.5KOff
8 May 20262,909 JPY8.5%2,987 JPY2,701 JPY-0.39-28.19353.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context