VSL NZE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vulcan Steel Limited · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 6.66 NZD
7.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.4%, after a 12.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 6.66 NZD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 7.4% latest completed week
4W Return 12.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.4%, after a 12.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 4.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0912-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.9% over four weeks, -4.4% over 12 weeks, and 0.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.4%
4W12.9%
12W-4.4%
26W-13.1%
52W0.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change523.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change44.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.

0 positive · 16 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+7.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryNZ Steel
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average10.2%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20266.66 NZD7.4%6.87 NZD7.61 NZD0.66-12.792.0MOff
31 Jul 20266.20 NZD-4.6%6.94 NZD7.62 NZD0.42-18.17526.7KOff
24 Jul 20266.50 NZD5.7%7.01 NZD7.63 NZD0.20-14.85765.6KOff
17 Jul 20266.15 NZD4.2%7.07 NZD7.64 NZD-0.09-19.19288.7KOff
10 Jul 20265.90 NZD-0.8%7.15 NZD7.64 NZD-0.16-23.221.4MOff
3 Jul 20265.95 NZD-2.5%7.23 NZD7.66 NZD-0.35-21.982.5KOff
26 Jun 20266.10 NZD-1.3%7.30 NZD7.67 NZD-0.52-19.449.9KOff
19 Jun 20266.18 NZD6.9%7.36 NZD7.69 NZD-0.58-18.52562.3KOff
12 Jun 20265.78 NZD-2.9%7.43 NZD7.70 NZD-0.69-23.32809.1KOff
5 Jun 20265.95 NZD-10.4%7.50 NZD7.71 NZD-0.66-19.9222.5KOff
29 May 20266.64 NZD-1.6%7.58 NZD7.72 NZD-0.73-11.5285.1KOff
22 May 20266.75 NZD-3.2%7.63 NZD7.73 NZD-0.95-8.5372.6KOff
15 May 20266.97 NZD6.4%7.68 NZD7.74 NZD-1.14-5.5266.1KOff
8 May 20266.55 NZD4.0%7.72 NZD7.74 NZD-1.36-12.8599.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context