- The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
EVO
STO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Evolution AB (publ) · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling
Latest close
735.8 SEK
1.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 7.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
57
out of 100
Latest Close
735.8 SEK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
13.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.6%.
Indicator stack
62/65
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
10 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a 7.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8312-week average 0.59
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.6% over four weeks, 13.2% over 12 weeks, and -16.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.82Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change76.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
4 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.6%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-6.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+1.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSE Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank22 / 78
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD55.1%positive activity pressure
RS23.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySE Gambling
4-week rank5 / 9
Group average7.9%
Trend breadth55.6%
Trend55.6%active weekly trend signals
MD88.9%positive activity pressure
RS44.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape55/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis70/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.83; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
Evolution crosses 5% threshold in €2bn share buyback programme Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 735.8 SEK | 1.0% | 634.0 SEK | 893.8 SEK | 0.82 | -2.06 | 3.2M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 728.2 SEK | 4.8% | 630.1 SEK | 897.0 SEK | 0.87 | -2.07 | 4.3M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 695.0 SEK | 0.5% | 626.7 SEK | 900.4 SEK | 0.75 | -6.07 | 3.8M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 691.4 SEK | 1.1% | 624.2 SEK | 904.2 SEK | 0.73 | -5.91 | 4.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 684.0 SEK | 3.3% | 622.0 SEK | 907.9 SEK | 0.84 | -8.65 | 3.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 662.2 SEK | 0.6% | 620.2 SEK | 912.2 SEK | 0.97 | -14.05 | 606.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 658.2 SEK | -5.0% | 618.8 SEK | 916.2 SEK | 1.19 | -12.73 | 1.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 692.6 SEK | -4.6% | 618.4 SEK | 920.7 SEK | 1.50 | -9.54 | 3.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 726.2 SEK | 4.1% | 616.4 SEK | 924.8 SEK | 1.60 | -3.68 | 687.9K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 697.6 SEK | 0.1% | 613.3 SEK | 929.2 SEK | 1.49 | -7.85 | 839.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 696.8 SEK | -0.5% | 611.2 SEK | 933.8 SEK | 1.42 | -8.84 | 4.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 700.0 SEK | 7.7% | 609.1 SEK | 938.6 SEK | 1.25 | -8.95 | 4.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 650.2 SEK | 2.4% | 608.3 SEK | 943.1 SEK | 1.13 | -12.63 | 1.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 635.2 SEK | -1.1% | 610.8 SEK | 948.0 SEK | 1.21 | -15.97 | 2.0M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.