AIR MCE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Airbus SE · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 214.5 EUR
6.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.1%, after a 9.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 214.5 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 6.1% latest completed week
4W Return 9.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 27.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.1%, after a 9.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4512-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.0% over four weeks, 27.9% over 12 weeks, and 23.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.1%
4W9.0%
12W27.9%
26W14.6%
52W23.5%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change37.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change66.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

3 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.7%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-6.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+6.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryES Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average9.0%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026214.5 EUR6.1%183.5 EUR157.9 EUR1.21-2.8633.7KOn
31 Jul 2026202.1 EUR-1.7%183.4 EUR157.4 EUR1.12-6.8344.8KOn
24 Jul 2026205.6 EUR6.4%183.3 EUR156.9 EUR1.03-4.5532.3KOff
17 Jul 2026193.2 EUR-1.8%182.9 EUR156.3 EUR0.91-8.8624.7KOff
10 Jul 2026196.7 EUR-4.7%182.9 EUR155.9 EUR0.88-8.4841.7KOff
3 Jul 2026206.6 EUR7.7%182.7 EUR155.5 EUR0.71-6.6111.9KOff
26 Jun 2026191.8 EUR0.8%182.3 EUR154.9 EUR0.52-11.663.0KOff
19 Jun 2026190.3 EUR6.0%182.6 EUR154.5 EUR0.47-12.424.2KOff
12 Jun 2026179.5 EUR0.4%182.9 EUR154.0 EUR0.33-15.1219.4KOff
5 Jun 2026178.8 EUR-0.7%183.6 EUR153.7 EUR0.14-13.767.3KOff
29 May 2026180.0 EUR6.1%184.5 EUR153.3 EUR0.19-13.5242.3KOff
22 May 2026169.6 EUR1.1%185.5 EUR152.9 EUR-0.07-17.0050.1KOff
15 May 2026167.7 EUR-6.5%186.6 EUR152.6 EUR-0.35-16.4529.3KOff
8 May 2026179.4 EUR2.8%187.6 EUR152.3 EUR-0.48-12.2383.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context