- The trend backdrop is active with a 34-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.69% based on similar historical setup states.
TCL-A
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Transcontinental Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
5.31 CAD
-0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a -0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
64
out of 100
Latest Close
5.31 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.4%.
Indicator stack
90/39
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.69%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
49/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a -0.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7612-week average 0.86
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.76Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.4% over four weeks, 0.9% over 12 weeks, and 92.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 34 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak34 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.55Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-11.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership21.81Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-27.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 83%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength100/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Value100/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum88/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Growth35/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework99/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 1.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 3.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 17.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 52.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 10.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 7.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 18.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -2.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 42.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -12.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
3 positive · 10 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+56.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-12.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-0.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank31 / 50
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS28.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Packaging & Containers
4-week rank8 / 8
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth75.0%
Trend75.0%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape68/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis73/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.76; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.69%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.69% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors94/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 2 SVQF99/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 5.5 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
Transcontinental Number of Employees 2026 | Employee Count & Headcount Data Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.31 CAD | -0.6% | 4.68 CAD | 2.67 CAD | -0.55 | 21.81 | 733.0K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.34 CAD | -0.2% | 4.61 CAD | 2.65 CAD | -0.51 | 27.48 | 990.1K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.35 CAD | -3.3% | 4.54 CAD | 2.62 CAD | -0.56 | 28.27 | 1.4M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.53 CAD | 3.8% | 4.47 CAD | 2.60 CAD | -0.51 | 34.07 | 1.7M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.33 CAD | -4.8% | 4.39 CAD | 2.57 CAD | -0.50 | 30.21 | 2.0M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.60 CAD | 1.6% | 4.33 CAD | 2.55 CAD | -0.44 | 38.07 | 163.8K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.51 CAD | 12.1% | 4.24 CAD | 2.52 CAD | -0.29 | 38.08 | 349.0K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.92 CAD | -2.4% | 4.15 CAD | 2.50 CAD | -0.18 | 24.22 | 2.4M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.03 CAD | 0.4% | 4.08 CAD | 2.48 CAD | 0.02 | 28.03 | 311.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.01 CAD | -3.8% | 4.01 CAD | 2.46 CAD | 0.20 | 30.20 | 939.4K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.21 CAD | -3.1% | 3.93 CAD | 2.44 CAD | 0.40 | 34.77 | 1.4M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.38 CAD | 2.3% | 3.85 CAD | 2.41 CAD | 0.52 | 41.22 | 1.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 5.26 CAD | -2.9% | 3.77 CAD | 2.39 CAD | 0.59 | 41.78 | 1.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.42 CAD | 2.2% | 3.68 CAD | 2.37 CAD | 0.70 | 46.15 | 2.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.