A58 GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Elevance Health, Inc. · Healthcare · Healthcare Plans

Latest close 339.6 EUR
3.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.2%, after a -7.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 339.6 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.2% latest completed week
4W Return -7.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 25.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 24.83% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.2%, after a -7.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6912-week average 0.42

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.7% over four weeks, 25.5% over 12 weeks, and -19.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.2%
4W-7.7%
12W25.5%
26W22.1%
52W-19.6%
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.56Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-47.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.73Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-155.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 79%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value76/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth67/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
12.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-2.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-30.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.

1 positive · 9 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.1%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-12.6%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+3.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks4
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol8.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Healthcare Plans
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-7.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026339.6 EUR3.2%300.4 EUR389.6 EUR0.56-3.739On
31 Jul 2026329.2 EUR-0.6%299.6 EUR390.1 EUR0.79-4.7996On
24 Jul 2026331.3 EUR3.0%298.7 EUR390.7 EUR0.91-2.8833On
17 Jul 2026321.8 EUR-12.6%297.2 EUR391.2 EUR1.02-5.21201On
10 Jul 2026368.1 EUR0.3%296.2 EUR391.6 EUR1.086.7414On
3 Jul 2026367.1 EUR6.9%294.0 EUR391.6 EUR1.043.120On
26 Jun 2026343.4 EUR1.4%291.1 EUR391.7 EUR1.060.3015On
19 Jun 2026338.5 EUR-1.8%289.3 EUR392.1 EUR1.06-2.870On
12 Jun 2026344.6 EUR-3.6%287.1 EUR392.5 EUR1.06-0.340On
5 Jun 2026357.3 EUR7.3%284.8 EUR392.8 EUR0.922.2654On
29 May 2026333.0 EUR-1.6%281.7 EUR393.2 EUR0.74-6.370Off
22 May 2026338.6 EUR25.1%284.7 EUR393.7 EUR0.57-4.548Off
15 May 2026270.6 EUR0.0%287.5 EUR394.2 EUR0.37-21.170Off
8 May 2026270.6 EUR0.0%292.6 EUR395.1 EUR0.26-23.100Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context