MRPL NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Latest close 167.0 INR
-1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 52.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 2.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 167.0 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.7% latest completed week
4W Return 2.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 52.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 2.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3312-week average 0.36

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.33Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.8% over four weeks, 11.1% over 12 weeks, and 35.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.7%
4W2.8%
12W11.1%
26W-7.9%
52W35.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change137.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-11.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality68/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework87/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
9.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-6.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
26.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.

1 positive · 5 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.2%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-11.9%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-1.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026167.0 INR-1.7%169.6 INR156.5 INR0.336.3522.1MOff
31 Jul 2026169.9 INR0.1%168.6 INR155.9 INR0.219.6256.9MOff
24 Jul 2026169.8 INR-2.7%167.9 INR155.3 INR-0.1313.0489.7MOff
17 Jul 2026174.5 INR7.4%167.0 INR154.8 INR-0.4714.04292.0MOff
10 Jul 2026162.5 INR8.2%166.0 INR154.2 INR-0.887.1955.3MOff
3 Jul 2026150.2 INR-2.4%165.4 INR153.7 INR-1.09-0.832.1MOff
26 Jun 2026153.9 INR-0.2%165.4 INR153.3 INR-1.102.670Off
19 Jun 2026154.2 INR-4.2%165.5 INR152.8 INR-1.133.325.7MOff
12 Jun 2026161.0 INR3.9%165.9 INR152.2 INR-1.2210.067.8MOff
5 Jun 2026154.9 INR6.9%166.1 INR151.7 INR-1.297.494.0MOff
29 May 2026145.0 INR-2.7%166.6 INR151.1 INR-1.200.1611.4MOff
22 May 2026149.0 INR-0.9%167.2 INR150.5 INR-1.082.3420.4MOff
15 May 2026150.3 INR-10.5%167.0 INR150.0 INR-0.733.8227.7MOff
8 May 2026167.9 INR0.2%166.6 INR149.4 INR-0.3613.7896.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context