- The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
B1TI34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
British American Tobacco p.l.c. · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
Latest close
60.76 BRL
-1.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 54.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a -0.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
67
out of 100
Latest Close
60.76 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-8.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.1x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.4%.
Indicator stack
96/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.49%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
29 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 54.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a -0.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4012-week average 0.40
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.4% over four weeks, -8.4% over 12 weeks, and 2.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change963.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change62.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.
0 positive · 28 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.1%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-6.3%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-1.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Defensive
4-week rank38 / 67
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.9%
Trend23.9%active weekly trend signals
MD56.7%positive activity pressure
RS25.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Tobacco
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape72/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 72/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis53/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.40; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.49%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.49% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.
British American Tobacco PLC (BTI) Stock Down 3.8% but Still Ove Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 60.76 BRL | -1.4% | 61.43 BRL | 43.48 BRL | 0.16 | -2.38 | 8.0K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 61.64 BRL | -0.6% | 61.34 BRL | 43.25 BRL | 0.15 | -4.46 | 830 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 61.99 BRL | -2.9% | 61.32 BRL | 43.03 BRL | 0.23 | -2.20 | 4.1K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 63.84 BRL | 4.7% | 61.34 BRL | 42.80 BRL | 0.36 | 0.58 | 7.9K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 60.99 BRL | -3.4% | 61.25 BRL | 42.56 BRL | 0.01 | -6.35 | 1.3K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 63.14 BRL | -1.3% | 61.22 BRL | 42.33 BRL | 0.06 | -1.33 | 158 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 63.99 BRL | 8.0% | 61.14 BRL | 42.09 BRL | -0.07 | 0.55 | 8.5K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 59.24 BRL | -4.7% | 61.01 BRL | 41.84 BRL | -0.24 | -4.27 | 18 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 62.17 BRL | 2.1% | 60.96 BRL | 41.62 BRL | 0.02 | -1.15 | 560 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 60.89 BRL | -2.7% | 60.75 BRL | 41.39 BRL | 0.11 | -2.01 | 759 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 62.57 BRL | -4.3% | 60.61 BRL | 41.16 BRL | 0.03 | -2.12 | 6.4K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 65.36 BRL | -1.5% | 60.32 BRL | 40.92 BRL | -0.05 | 0.86 | 5.4K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 66.35 BRL | 16.1% | 59.96 BRL | 40.66 BRL | -0.44 | 1.91 | 6.5K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 57.13 BRL | -6.3% | 59.55 BRL | 40.41 BRL | -0.81 | -15.30 | 9.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.