- The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
FABLE
STO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Fable Media Group AB · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling
Latest close
7.10 SEK
16.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 39.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.4%, after a 16.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
76
out of 100
Latest Close
7.10 SEK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
16.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
16.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
30.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
5.2x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.89% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
16.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 16.4%.
Indicator stack
67/72
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.89%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 39.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 16.4%, after a 16.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 5.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9512-week average 0.84
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 16.4% over four weeks, 30.5% over 12 weeks, and 54.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.23Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-2.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership27.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change86.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
1 positive · 14 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-8.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+16.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSE Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank11 / 78
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD55.1%positive activity pressure
RS23.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySE Gambling
4-week rank2 / 9
Group average7.9%
Trend breadth55.6%
Trend55.6%active weekly trend signals
MD88.9%positive activity pressure
RS44.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape72/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 72/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis84/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.95; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.89%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.89% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
Alibaba stock rockets as new Qwen model threatens global rivals, chasing Anthropic’s Fable 5 (BABA:NYSE) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 7.10 SEK | 16.4% | 5.10 SEK | 5.35 SEK | 1.23 | 27.70 | 380.5K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.10 SEK | 6.3% | 5.02 SEK | 5.33 SEK | 1.16 | 12.42 | 56.6K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.74 SEK | -5.0% | 4.97 SEK | 5.33 SEK | 1.16 | 7.41 | 44.0K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.04 SEK | -1.0% | 4.93 SEK | 5.33 SEK | 1.28 | 14.97 | 56.6K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6.10 SEK | 4.5% | 4.88 SEK | 5.32 SEK | 1.26 | 14.89 | 70.0K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.84 SEK | -1.4% | 4.84 SEK | 5.31 SEK | 1.00 | 7.52 | 17.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.92 SEK | 10.0% | 4.80 SEK | 5.31 SEK | 0.97 | 11.92 | 5.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.38 SEK | 6.1% | 4.76 SEK | 5.31 SEK | 0.83 | 0.74 | 45.3K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.08 SEK | -3.0% | 4.73 SEK | 5.31 SEK | 0.86 | -3.59 | 3.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.23 SEK | 1.5% | 4.71 SEK | 5.31 SEK | 1.15 | -1.33 | 21.8K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.15 SEK | -1.8% | 4.69 SEK | 5.31 SEK | 1.25 | -3.70 | 42.4K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.25 SEK | -3.5% | 4.68 SEK | 5.31 SEK | 1.28 | -2.42 | 29.7K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 5.44 SEK | 2.9% | 4.66 SEK | 5.32 SEK | 1.17 | 4.60 | 172.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.29 SEK | 7.0% | 4.64 SEK | 5.32 SEK | 1.05 | 0.33 | 295.3K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.