- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
7203
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Toyota Motor Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Latest close
2,980 JPY
-2.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a 5.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
44
out of 100
Latest Close
2,980 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
65.4%
34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.6%.
Indicator stack
36/64
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a 5.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0912-week average 0.13
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.6% over four weeks, -3.4% over 12 weeks, and 10.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change121.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change30.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
11 positive · 9 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.9%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-8.3%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-2.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank37 / 100
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD77.0%positive activity pressure
RS23.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Auto Manufacturers
4-week rank4 / 10
Group average7.4%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD90.0%positive activity pressure
RS10.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
Toyota’s (TM) Profit Soared 76%. So Why Recall Over 500,000 Cars? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2,980 JPY | -2.8% | 3,184 JPY | 2,842 JPY | 0.25 | -21.07 | 218.2M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3,067 JPY | 5.9% | 3,196 JPY | 2,837 JPY | -0.11 | -17.72 | 258.3M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2,897 JPY | -0.1% | 3,204 JPY | 2,832 JPY | -0.67 | -23.02 | 103.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2,900 JPY | 2.7% | 3,219 JPY | 2,827 JPY | -0.92 | -22.90 | 127.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2,823 JPY | -0.2% | 3,234 JPY | 2,822 JPY | -1.18 | -30.14 | 143.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2,828 JPY | 2.2% | 3,247 JPY | 2,817 JPY | -1.37 | -31.66 | 23.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2,768 JPY | -0.3% | 3,253 JPY | 2,812 JPY | -1.41 | -33.18 | 32.5M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2,776 JPY | 0.0% | 3,263 JPY | 2,808 JPY | -1.35 | -35.19 | 28.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2,776 JPY | -2.6% | 3,273 JPY | 2,803 JPY | -1.28 | -30.62 | 29.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2,850 JPY | -6.3% | 3,284 JPY | 2,799 JPY | -1.12 | -29.89 | 19.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3,042 JPY | 1.8% | 3,292 JPY | 2,793 JPY | -1.05 | -25.47 | 121.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2,987 JPY | -3.2% | 3,294 JPY | 2,785 JPY | -1.10 | -23.95 | 118.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,085 JPY | 5.9% | 3,297 JPY | 2,778 JPY | -1.11 | -19.52 | 176.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 2,913 JPY | -2.9% | 3,290 JPY | 2,769 JPY | -1.17 | -25.99 | 112.9M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.