9409 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TV Asahi Holdings Corporation · Communication Services · Broadcasting

Latest close 3,070 JPY
-2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -3.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 42 out of 100
Latest Close 3,070 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -2.1% latest completed week
4W Return -3.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.61% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -3.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.8% over four weeks, 1.2% over 12 weeks, and 6.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.1%
4W-3.8%
12W1.2%
26W-10.8%
52W6.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.78Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change28.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.80Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-11.7%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-2.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20263,070 JPY-2.1%3,279 JPY2,445 JPY-0.78-21.801.2MOff
31 Jul 20263,135 JPY0.8%3,289 JPY2,436 JPY-0.81-19.18903.6KOff
24 Jul 20263,110 JPY-1.1%3,294 JPY2,426 JPY-1.02-20.69698.7KOff
17 Jul 20263,145 JPY-1.4%3,300 JPY2,416 JPY-1.04-19.69906.7KOff
10 Jul 20263,190 JPY-0.8%3,306 JPY2,407 JPY-1.10-24.301.0MOff
3 Jul 20263,215 JPY3.5%3,311 JPY2,396 JPY-1.10-25.50172.4KOff
26 Jun 20263,105 JPY-1.6%3,310 JPY2,386 JPY-0.94-28.09176.7KOff
19 Jun 20263,155 JPY-4.4%3,317 JPY2,376 JPY-0.84-29.37173.0KOff
12 Jun 20263,300 JPY-1.3%3,321 JPY2,365 JPY-0.87-20.84251.5KOff
5 Jun 20263,345 JPY6.7%3,319 JPY2,353 JPY-0.94-20.92620.7KOff
29 May 20263,135 JPY1.0%3,313 JPY2,341 JPY-1.13-25.981.5MOff
22 May 20263,105 JPY2.3%3,312 JPY2,330 JPY-1.23-23.691.4MOff
15 May 20263,035 JPY-6.0%3,311 JPY2,319 JPY-1.21-23.492.6MOff
8 May 20263,230 JPY-1.1%3,309 JPY2,309 JPY-1.11-20.73438.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context