9405 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Asahi Broadcasting Group Holdings Corporation · Communication Services · Broadcasting

Latest close 805.0 JPY
-4.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a -3.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 44/100.

Setup score 42 out of 100
Latest Close 805.0 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -4.2% latest completed week
4W Return -3.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 78.8% 41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 51.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a -3.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2712-week average 0.43

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.27Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.1% over four weeks, 3.3% over 12 weeks, and 18.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.2%
4W-3.1%
12W3.3%
26W-3.2%
52W18.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change84.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.47Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change13.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment44/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

0 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.5%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-5.0%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-4.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026805.0 JPY-4.2%828.4 JPY682.9 JPY-0.16-16.47274.8KOff
31 Jul 2026840.0 JPY1.1%829.4 JPY681.8 JPY-0.23-11.62202.8KOff
24 Jul 2026831.0 JPY-1.0%828.4 JPY680.5 JPY-0.56-13.34168.3KOff
17 Jul 2026839.0 JPY1.0%827.8 JPY679.2 JPY-0.79-12.27225.1KOff
10 Jul 2026831.0 JPY4.8%827.4 JPY677.9 JPY-1.04-19.07242.6KOff
3 Jul 2026793.0 JPY4.5%826.7 JPY676.5 JPY-1.26-24.5163.3KOff
26 Jun 2026759.0 JPY-2.9%826.6 JPY675.3 JPY-1.26-27.8046.1KOff
19 Jun 2026782.0 JPY-1.6%827.9 JPY674.4 JPY-1.11-28.0929.6KOff
12 Jun 2026795.0 JPY-2.9%827.7 JPY673.3 JPY-0.95-21.7447.7KOff
5 Jun 2026819.0 JPY-1.2%826.6 JPY672.0 JPY-0.92-20.5547.7KOff
29 May 2026829.0 JPY-1.9%822.6 JPY670.6 JPY-0.92-19.73589.6KOff
22 May 2026845.0 JPY8.5%817.9 JPY669.1 JPY-1.01-14.77487.2KOn
15 May 2026779.0 JPY-5.0%813.6 JPY667.5 JPY-1.03-19.33465.8KOn
8 May 2026820.0 JPY-1.4%811.6 JPY666.4 JPY-0.72-17.29116.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context