- The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
ESAFSFB
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
ESAF Small Finance Bank · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
40.27 INR
-4.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 37.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a 12.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.
Setup score
67
out of 100
Latest Close
40.27 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-4.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
37.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
17.3%
9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.6x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.41% based on similar historical setup states.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.7%.
Indicator stack
41/76
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.41%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
49/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 37.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a 12.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8212-week average 0.45
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.82Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.7% over four weeks, 37.9% over 12 weeks, and 32.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak9 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change11.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership40.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change37.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 61%
Model confidence 57%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength64/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Value55/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Quality54/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Momentum57/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Growth54/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -71.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -89.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -0.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -174.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
2 positive · 17 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-4.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol8.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.9%
Trend breadth59.0%
Trend59.0%active weekly trend signals
MD70.0%positive activity pressure
RS57.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Banks - Regional
4-week rank3 / 41
Group average0.5%
Trend breadth58.5%
Trend58.5%active weekly trend signals
MD80.5%positive activity pressure
RS70.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape61/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis82/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.82; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.41%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.41% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors57/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 72; Small Cap Core rank 54 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
ESAF Small Finance Bank Q1FY27 Earnings Call Scheduled for August 3, 2026 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 40.27 INR | -4.2% | 29.33 INR | 40.33 INR | 1.39 | 40.93 | 31.6M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 42.05 INR | 8.7% | 28.84 INR | 40.33 INR | 1.39 | 49.25 | 53.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 38.69 INR | 9.9% | 28.33 INR | 40.32 INR | 1.29 | 41.96 | 16.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 35.20 INR | -1.5% | 27.92 INR | 40.33 INR | 1.18 | 26.87 | 6.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 35.73 INR | 4.6% | 27.60 INR | 40.37 INR | 1.25 | 29.70 | 8.0M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 34.15 INR | 3.7% | 27.27 INR | 40.40 INR | 1.12 | 23.90 | 680.3K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 32.94 INR | -9.3% | 27.00 INR | 40.45 INR | 1.00 | 20.64 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 36.33 INR | 27.6% | 26.80 INR | 40.50 INR | 0.95 | 33.54 | 20.7M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 28.48 INR | 2.5% | 26.49 INR | 40.53 INR | 0.79 | 6.90 | 1.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 27.78 INR | -2.9% | 26.44 INR | 40.62 INR | 0.83 | 5.27 | 276.2K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 28.61 INR | 1.8% | 26.43 INR | 40.72 INR | 0.86 | 7.41 | 2.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 28.10 INR | -3.8% | 26.41 INR | 40.81 INR | 0.73 | 4.66 | 3.5M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 29.21 INR | -1.0% | 26.47 INR | 40.90 INR | 0.32 | 9.09 | 10.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 29.51 INR | 11.8% | 26.44 INR | 40.99 INR | -0.07 | 7.77 | 7.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.