- The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
PHMO34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Philip Morris International Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
Latest close
60.18 BRL
-0.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a 4.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100.
Setup score
70
out of 100
Latest Close
60.18 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
5.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
34.6%
18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.6x
vs 13-week average
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.5%.
Indicator stack
57/72
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
59/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a 4.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7912-week average 0.57
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.5% over four weeks, 5.2% over 12 weeks, and 7.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change42.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change278.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment59/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.
2 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.5%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Defensive
4-week rank17 / 67
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.9%
Trend23.9%active weekly trend signals
MD56.7%positive activity pressure
RS25.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Tobacco
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape69/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis69/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.79; 1 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment59/100Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.
1 Mega-Cap Stock with Impressive Fundamentals and 2 We Brush Off Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 60.18 BRL | -0.9% | 56.19 BRL | 44.03 BRL | 1.04 | 5.96 | 862 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 60.72 BRL | -0.1% | 55.92 BRL | 43.81 BRL | 0.92 | 3.24 | 40 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 60.80 BRL | -0.6% | 55.76 BRL | 43.59 BRL | 0.88 | 5.27 | 128 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 61.19 BRL | 6.3% | 55.56 BRL | 43.37 BRL | 0.89 | 5.79 | 1.2K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 57.58 BRL | -1.3% | 55.30 BRL | 43.14 BRL | 0.73 | -3.34 | 16 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 58.34 BRL | -0.8% | 55.05 BRL | 42.94 BRL | 0.64 | -0.72 | 56 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 58.80 BRL | 2.2% | 54.71 BRL | 42.73 BRL | 0.47 | 0.20 | 840 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 57.52 BRL | 2.9% | 54.45 BRL | 42.52 BRL | 0.19 | 0.20 | 112 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 55.93 BRL | 0.0% | 54.25 BRL | 42.31 BRL | 0.10 | -4.57 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 55.93 BRL | 1.4% | 54.04 BRL | 42.12 BRL | -0.02 | -4.02 | 48 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 55.18 BRL | -6.6% | 53.84 BRL | 41.91 BRL | -0.25 | -8.50 | 8 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 59.05 BRL | 3.3% | 53.58 BRL | 41.72 BRL | -0.42 | -4.14 | 744 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 57.18 BRL | 10.5% | 53.35 BRL | 41.50 BRL | -0.62 | -8.27 | 240 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 51.74 BRL | 2.0% | 53.19 BRL | 41.29 BRL | -0.83 | -20.48 | 8 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.