- The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
6125
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Okamoto Machine Tool Works, Ltd. · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Latest close
5,160 JPY
3.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -5.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
55
out of 100
Latest Close
5,160 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-5.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
8.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.5x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.57% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -5.3%.
Indicator stack
74/54
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.57%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a -5.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8312-week average 0.67
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -5.3% over four weeks, 8.5% over 12 weeks, and 15.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.47Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-55.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change17.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.2%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-13.3%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD45.0%positive activity pressure
RS28.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Specialty Industrial Machinery
4-week rank74 / 100
Group average0.0%
Trend breadth61.0%
Trend61.0%active weekly trend signals
MD41.0%positive activity pressure
RS36.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis70/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.83; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.57%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.57% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Okamoto Machine Tool Works,Ltd. Revenue Breakdown – TSE:6125 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5,160 JPY | 3.0% | 4,801 JPY | 4,459 JPY | 0.47 | -8.05 | 571.6K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5,010 JPY | -1.0% | 4,781 JPY | 4,458 JPY | 0.71 | -9.57 | 330.5K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5,060 JPY | -1.9% | 4,761 JPY | 4,457 JPY | 0.88 | -9.74 | 158.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5,160 JPY | -5.3% | 4,741 JPY | 4,457 JPY | 1.06 | -7.99 | 352.8K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5,450 JPY | -3.9% | 4,713 JPY | 4,456 JPY | 1.04 | -9.81 | 394.3K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5,670 JPY | 0.7% | 4,677 JPY | 4,454 JPY | 0.80 | -8.42 | 84.7K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5,630 JPY | 5.0% | 4,630 JPY | 4,452 JPY | 0.72 | -9.23 | 51.5K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5,360 JPY | 9.9% | 4,581 JPY | 4,452 JPY | 0.82 | -16.50 | 23.4K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,875 JPY | -7.7% | 4,540 JPY | 4,452 JPY | 0.85 | -18.56 | 37.8K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5,280 JPY | -3.1% | 4,519 JPY | 4,453 JPY | 0.88 | -13.05 | 34.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 5,450 JPY | 8.3% | 4,486 JPY | 4,451 JPY | 0.75 | -10.30 | 302.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 5,030 JPY | 5.8% | 4,461 JPY | 4,448 JPY | 0.22 | -13.67 | 230.3K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4,755 JPY | -3.4% | 4,454 JPY | 4,447 JPY | -0.33 | -16.17 | 446.8K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4,920 JPY | 12.2% | 4,446 JPY | 4,448 JPY | -0.74 | -15.45 | 173.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.