ORLY VIE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Latest close 80.28 EUR
4.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 39.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 7.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 80.28 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 4.1% latest completed week
4W Return 7.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 39.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 7.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.5% over four weeks, 4.2% over 12 weeks, and -9.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.1%
4W7.5%
12W4.2%
26W3.4%
52W-9.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change92.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change22.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

0 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.7%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-5.7%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+4.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202680.28 EUR4.1%78.91 EUR74.02 EUR-0.02-20.501Off
31 Jul 202677.09 EUR0.8%78.92 EUR73.87 EUR-0.25-22.021.5KOff
24 Jul 202676.46 EUR0.8%78.93 EUR73.74 EUR-0.27-23.331.8KOff
17 Jul 202675.85 EUR1.6%78.99 EUR73.61 EUR-0.10-23.462.4KOff
10 Jul 202674.65 EUR-5.4%79.07 EUR73.49 EUR-0.25-26.602.3KOff
3 Jul 202678.87 EUR0.2%79.26 EUR73.37 EUR-0.31-23.960Off
26 Jun 202678.70 EUR4.0%79.45 EUR73.23 EUR-0.36-22.75125Off
19 Jun 202675.65 EUR-2.0%79.75 EUR73.10 EUR-0.58-27.560Off
12 Jun 202677.18 EUR-0.2%80.14 EUR72.98 EUR-0.34-23.500Off
5 Jun 202677.32 EUR1.8%80.38 EUR72.85 EUR-0.19-21.68125Off
29 May 202675.99 EUR-4.3%80.59 EUR72.72 EUR-0.10-24.33125Off
22 May 202679.41 EUR3.0%80.80 EUR72.59 EUR0.17-19.270Off
15 May 202677.08 EUR-3.1%80.95 EUR72.45 EUR0.14-20.460Off
8 May 202679.53 EUR-4.4%81.27 EUR72.33 EUR0.15-18.770Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context