FICO NYSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Fair Isaac Corporation · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 1,041 USD
-7.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.3%, after a -16.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 1,041 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -7.3% latest completed week
4W Return -16.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 11.5% 6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.22% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -7.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -16.7%. Indicator stack 6/62 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.22% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 37/100 conviction; expected move 8.6%. News sentiment 58/100 17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.3%, after a -16.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2512-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.25Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -16.7% over four weeks, -5.2% over 12 weeks, and -21.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.3%
4W-16.7%
12W-5.2%
26W-25.1%
52W-21.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change10.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-34.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-61.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 91%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength21/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
27.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
9.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
22.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
85.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
52.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
42.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
76.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
24.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
28.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
23.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
15.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
15.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

FICO shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.69, expected move of 8.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction37/100
Expected move8.6%
Put/call volume0.69
Pressure21
Speculation46
Volatility74
Trend agreement41
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 10

6 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 17 relevant articles.

9 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move8.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-47.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.4%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-23.4%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-7.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -6.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis32/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.25; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.22%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.22% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 3 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options52/100

FICO shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.69, expected move of 8.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.6% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 17 relevant articles.

TRU Stock Climbs 15.3% in 3 Months: Can the Rally Continue From Here? Insiders6 / 10

6 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261,041 USD-7.3%1,214 USD1,495 USD0.61-34.102.1MOff
31 Jul 20261,123 USD-9.2%1,235 USD1,494 USD0.72-26.963.0MOff
24 Jul 20261,237 USD-1.6%1,253 USD1,492 USD0.64-19.19948.9KOff
17 Jul 20261,257 USD0.5%1,270 USD1,489 USD0.62-18.961.3MOff
10 Jul 20261,251 USD-1.6%1,286 USD1,487 USD0.55-21.181.0MOff
3 Jul 20261,271 USD7.4%1,306 USD1,484 USD0.49-19.451.1MOff
26 Jun 20261,183 USD7.9%1,324 USD1,481 USD0.39-24.301.4MOff
19 Jun 20261,096 USD-7.0%1,344 USD1,479 USD0.37-32.321.8MOff
12 Jun 20261,179 USD3.7%1,367 USD1,477 USD0.36-27.561.5MOff
5 Jun 20261,137 USD-9.1%1,386 USD1,474 USD0.22-30.611.5MOff
29 May 20261,251 USD0.9%1,406 USD1,472 USD0.03-26.531.5MOff
22 May 20261,240 USD12.9%1,420 USD1,469 USD-0.26-26.922.0MOff
15 May 20261,099 USD-2.4%1,434 USD1,466 USD-0.54-35.391.6MOff
8 May 20261,126 USD8.7%1,451 USD1,464 USD-0.66-34.871.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context