SAP NYSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

SAP SE ADR · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 206.2 USD
12.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.3%, after a 30.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 33/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 69/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 70d.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 206.2 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 12.3% latest completed week
4W Return 30.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 21.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 1.9% 1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 12.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 30.6%. Indicator stack 1/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 33/100 conviction; expected move 3.5%. News sentiment 69/100 4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 70d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.3%, after a 30.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2412-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 30.6% over four weeks, 21.6% over 12 weeks, and -28.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W12.3%
4W30.6%
12W21.6%
26W3.1%
52W-28.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change3275.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change61.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength11/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum13/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Growth31/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
72.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
30.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
26.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
18.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
19.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
26.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

SAP shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.04, expected move of 3.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction33/100
Expected move3.5%
Put/call volume1.04
Pressure1
Speculation41
Volatility51
Trend agreement71
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment69/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.

4 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings70dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+12.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape34/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis34/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers Factors29/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 28 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options51/100

SAP shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.04, expected move of 3.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 3.5% Sentiment69/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.

Discipline and Rules-Based Execution in SAP Response Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings70d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026206.2 USD12.3%180.3 USD210.7 USD1.01-13.6614.3MOff
31 Jul 2026183.6 USD14.8%181.6 USD210.3 USD0.60-21.3222.0MOff
24 Jul 2026160.0 USD0.6%183.2 USD209.9 USD0.23-31.5620.7MOff
17 Jul 2026159.0 USD0.7%186.0 USD209.7 USD0.16-33.3216.1MOff
10 Jul 2026157.9 USD-2.9%188.7 USD209.5 USD0.03-35.8810.5MOff
3 Jul 2026162.6 USD4.8%191.4 USD209.4 USD0.08-34.109.4MOff
26 Jun 2026155.1 USD-0.1%194.1 USD209.2 USD0.27-36.7512.4MOff
19 Jun 2026155.2 USD-5.5%196.9 USD209.0 USD0.39-39.169.0MOff
12 Jun 2026164.2 USD-11.1%199.4 USD208.9 USD0.54-36.0315.3MOff
5 Jun 2026184.8 USD1.6%202.0 USD208.7 USD0.54-28.6619.5MOff
29 May 2026181.8 USD3.3%204.1 USD208.3 USD0.34-32.5412.7MOff
22 May 2026175.9 USD3.8%206.6 USD207.9 USD0.01-34.7116.6MOff
15 May 2026169.5 USD-2.4%209.5 USD207.6 USD-0.27-37.4617.8MOff
8 May 2026173.7 USD3.5%212.8 USD207.4 USD-0.53-36.6620.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context