- The trend backdrop is active with a 13-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
DNL
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Dyno Nobel Limited · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Latest close
3.81 AUD
0.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 2.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
65
out of 100
Latest Close
3.81 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
84.6%
44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.7%.
Indicator stack
92/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.96%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
23 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 2.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9412-week average 0.75
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.94Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.7% over four weeks, 4.5% over 12 weeks, and 34.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 13 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak13 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-69.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.47Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-34.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 52%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength95/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality82/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Growth5/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework51/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 66.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 2.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -29.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 4.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 8.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.
5 positive · 17 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.1%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-11.5%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains15
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank68 / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Specialty Chemicals
4-week rank5 / 14
Group average-8.8%
Trend breadth14.3%
Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals
MD35.7%positive activity pressure
RS14.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape67/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis82/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.94; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.96%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.96% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors88/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 2 SVQF51/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 127.5 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.
Dyno Nobel Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back Program Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.81 AUD | 0.8% | 3.46 AUD | 2.84 AUD | 0.28 | 9.47 | 16.8M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.78 AUD | 1.3% | 3.45 AUD | 2.84 AUD | 0.42 | 12.59 | 16.3M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.73 AUD | 2.5% | 3.43 AUD | 2.83 AUD | 0.59 | 14.27 | 21.5M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.64 AUD | -1.9% | 3.41 AUD | 2.82 AUD | 0.72 | 11.79 | 20.2M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.71 AUD | -5.6% | 3.40 AUD | 2.81 AUD | 0.93 | 14.39 | 24.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.93 AUD | 1.8% | 3.38 AUD | 2.80 AUD | 0.97 | 21.30 | 2.8M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.86 AUD | 1.8% | 3.35 AUD | 2.79 AUD | 1.09 | 21.10 | 3.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.79 AUD | -1.8% | 3.34 AUD | 2.78 AUD | 1.07 | 18.90 | 21.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.86 AUD | 1.5% | 3.31 AUD | 2.77 AUD | 1.02 | 22.28 | 3.6M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.80 AUD | 2.4% | 3.29 AUD | 2.76 AUD | 1.10 | 23.91 | 74.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.71 AUD | 2.2% | 3.27 AUD | 2.75 AUD | 0.62 | 20.49 | 6.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.64 AUD | -0.3% | 3.25 AUD | 2.74 AUD | 0.23 | 19.75 | 14.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.65 AUD | 11.1% | 3.23 AUD | 2.74 AUD | -0.26 | 21.25 | 25.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.28 AUD | -0.6% | 3.22 AUD | 2.73 AUD | -0.80 | 8.34 | 20.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.