PBL TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Pollard Banknote Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling

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Latest close 17.56 CAD
1.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a -0.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 17.56 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.2% latest completed week
4W Return -0.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 11.5% 6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.1%. Indicator stack 6/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 56/100 5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a -0.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1212-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.1% over four weeks, 7.4% over 12 weeks, and -17.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.2%
4W-0.1%
12W7.4%
26W-9.6%
52W-17.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change2619.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change3.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength48/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Value89/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum9/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
18.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
15.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-1.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-1.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
24.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.8%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+1.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains10
Flat weeks2
Modest losses12
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Gambling
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-9.4%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

PBL · TOR-0.1%BRAG · TOR-18.7%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis19/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 63; Small Cap Core rank 13 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

Pollard Banknote GAAP EPS of $0.32, revenue of $154.8M Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202617.56 CAD1.2%17.92 CAD24.15 CAD0.53-17.9339.3KOff
31 Jul 202617.35 CAD-2.3%18.02 CAD24.20 CAD0.53-17.0220.2KOff
24 Jul 202617.75 CAD0.0%18.08 CAD24.25 CAD0.51-16.3638.8KOff
17 Jul 202617.75 CAD1.0%18.14 CAD24.29 CAD0.31-16.9062.8KOff
10 Jul 202617.58 CAD0.1%18.21 CAD24.34 CAD0.02-18.5447.5KOff
3 Jul 202617.57 CAD2.2%18.27 CAD24.39 CAD-0.54-19.28700Off
26 Jun 202617.20 CAD-0.2%18.32 CAD24.45 CAD-1.06-21.1311.7KOff
19 Jun 202617.24 CAD7.8%18.41 CAD24.50 CAD-1.41-21.659.3KOff
12 Jun 202615.99 CAD1.4%18.47 CAD24.54 CAD-1.65-28.0013.0KOff
5 Jun 202615.77 CAD-2.2%18.57 CAD24.60 CAD-1.52-28.7158.2KOff
29 May 202616.13 CAD-0.1%18.70 CAD24.65 CAD-1.17-28.58136.2KOff
22 May 202616.14 CAD-1.3%18.84 CAD24.70 CAD-0.84-28.59268.5KOff
15 May 202616.35 CAD-8.5%19.05 CAD24.75 CAD-0.64-26.90469.2KOff
8 May 202617.88 CAD-2.5%19.24 CAD24.80 CAD-0.62-21.26236.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context