ASHOKLEY NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ashok Leyland Limited · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Latest close 177.5 INR
6.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.8%, after a 12.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 177.5 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 6.8% latest completed week
4W Return 12.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 17.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.8%, after a 12.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1012-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.7% over four weeks, 17.9% over 12 weeks, and 57.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.8%
4W12.7%
12W17.9%
26W-10.6%
52W57.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change140.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.14Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change257.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value36/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality40/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth67/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework81/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-4.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
39.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
19.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-14.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
16.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
11.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

6 positive · 26 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-12.3%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+6.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026177.5 INR6.8%169.8 INR119.2 INR0.1912.14119.0MOff
31 Jul 2026166.2 INR10.0%170.0 INR118.7 INR-0.106.62100.2MOff
24 Jul 2026151.1 INR-2.7%170.7 INR118.1 INR-0.310.0551.7MOff
17 Jul 2026155.2 INR-1.4%171.4 INR117.7 INR-0.350.8878.6MOff
10 Jul 2026157.5 INR-4.2%171.9 INR117.2 INR-0.473.3983.5MOff
3 Jul 2026164.4 INR2.3%172.0 INR116.7 INR-0.718.1820.8MOff
26 Jun 2026160.7 INR2.6%171.8 INR116.2 INR-0.977.360Off
19 Jun 2026156.7 INR2.8%171.6 INR115.6 INR-1.005.4915.9MOff
12 Jun 2026152.4 INR4.9%171.1 INR115.1 INR-1.044.9969.3MOff
5 Jun 2026145.3 INR-4.9%170.9 INR114.6 INR-1.001.7322.4MOff
29 May 2026152.8 INR-1.8%170.6 INR114.1 INR-0.866.69163.9MOff
22 May 2026155.6 INR3.3%170.1 INR113.6 INR-0.948.44107.1MOff
15 May 2026150.6 INR-9.2%169.4 INR113.0 INR-0.925.92124.3MOff
8 May 2026165.7 INR4.0%168.8 INR112.5 INR-0.9114.6997.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context