TEA ASX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tasmea Limited · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Latest close 8.73 AUD
4.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 42.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 82.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a -0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 70 out of 100
Latest Close 8.73 AUD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 4.2% latest completed week
4W Return -0.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 43.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 42.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 82.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a -0.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.92

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.6% over four weeks, 43.7% over 12 weeks, and 118.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.2%
4W-0.6%
12W43.7%
26W143.0%
52W118.4%
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-39.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership53.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-28.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 43%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum98/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework31/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
45.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
28.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
29.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
16.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
37.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
57.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
51.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

4 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher19 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week+4.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains13
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses4
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20268.73 AUD4.2%6.12 AUD3.67 AUD1.0053.951.8MOn
31 Jul 20268.38 AUD-8.5%5.96 AUD3.62 AUD1.3454.873.0MOn
24 Jul 20269.16 AUD2.3%5.81 AUD3.58 AUD1.5576.133.6MOn
17 Jul 20268.95 AUD1.9%5.65 AUD3.54 AUD1.6275.453.2MOn
10 Jul 20268.78 AUD-1.5%5.48 AUD3.49 AUD1.6675.622.7MOn
3 Jul 20268.91 AUD-6.9%5.33 AUD3.44 AUD1.6881.25316.2KOn
26 Jun 20269.57 AUD10.1%5.18 AUD3.39 AUD1.87100.73541.3KOn
19 Jun 20268.69 AUD1.0%5.02 AUD3.34 AUD1.9285.33414.4KOn
12 Jun 20268.60 AUD5.8%4.87 AUD3.29 AUD1.7888.16789.5KOn
5 Jun 20268.13 AUD16.7%4.76 AUD3.24 AUD1.6785.887.2MOn
29 May 20266.96 AUD15.4%4.64 AUD3.20 AUD1.4161.004.9MOn
22 May 20266.04 AUD-0.7%4.57 AUD3.16 AUD1.1043.352.4MOn
15 May 20266.07 AUD4.9%4.53 AUD3.14 AUD1.0746.903.0MOn
8 May 20265.79 AUD7.1%4.48 AUD3.11 AUD0.9440.372.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context