- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.30% based on similar historical setup states.
PYPL34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PayPal Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services · Credit Services
Latest close
15.00 BRL
-2.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 27.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
48
out of 100
Latest Close
15.00 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
27.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
31.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
1.9%
1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 27.6%.
Indicator stack
5/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.30%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.0%, after a 27.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3712-week average 0.18
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 27.6% over four weeks, 31.4% over 12 weeks, and -18.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.67Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change405.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change91.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
4 positive · 12 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-29.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.9%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-13.2%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-2.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol7.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Financial Services
4-week rank1 / 100
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth44.0%
Trend44.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Credit Services
4-week rank1 / 7
Group average8.2%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis35/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.37; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.30%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.30% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
PayPal: A Steal At Less Than 10x Earnings Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 15.00 BRL | -2.0% | 12.25 BRL | 17.19 BRL | 1.67 | -2.54 | 34.3K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 15.30 BRL | 5.6% | 12.27 BRL | 17.19 BRL | 1.55 | -4.64 | 213.7K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 14.49 BRL | 0.3% | 12.29 BRL | 17.19 BRL | 1.23 | -8.67 | 252.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 14.45 BRL | 22.9% | 12.36 BRL | 17.21 BRL | 0.85 | -10.29 | 319.3K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 11.76 BRL | 1.2% | 12.42 BRL | 17.23 BRL | 0.33 | -29.74 | 110.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 11.62 BRL | 1.8% | 12.58 BRL | 17.26 BRL | 0.03 | -30.29 | 1.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 11.41 BRL | 5.1% | 12.76 BRL | 17.29 BRL | -0.11 | -32.21 | 46.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 10.86 BRL | 4.2% | 12.93 BRL | 17.32 BRL | -0.04 | -34.71 | 4.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10.42 BRL | -2.3% | 13.12 BRL | 17.36 BRL | 0.08 | -39.19 | 27.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10.66 BRL | -9.3% | 13.31 BRL | 17.39 BRL | 0.32 | -37.98 | 44.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 11.75 BRL | 4.9% | 13.54 BRL | 17.42 BRL | 0.46 | -34.57 | 178.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 11.20 BRL | -1.8% | 13.77 BRL | 17.45 BRL | 0.47 | -39.36 | 96.3K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 11.41 BRL | 3.7% | 14.03 BRL | 17.47 BRL | 0.52 | -39.47 | 255.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 11.00 BRL | -13.2% | 14.26 BRL | 17.50 BRL | 0.46 | -44.62 | 440.0K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.