- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
FERG
LSE
Week ended 17 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. · Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Latest close
17,350 GBP
2.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a -2.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
17,350 GBP
17 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-10.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.6%.
Indicator stack
38/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a -2.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
23 Jan
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1912-week average 0.43
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.6% over four weeks, -10.6% over 12 weeks, and 4.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change34.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-93.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 46%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength64/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Value59/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Quality60/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Momentum60/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Growth60/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
1 positive · 14 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
23 Jan
20 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
17 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.7%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.7%Week of 17 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Industrials
4-week rank83 / 100
Group average9.1%
Trend breadth46.0%
Trend46.0%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Industrial Distribution
4-week rank8 / 10
Group average6.7%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD90.0%positive activity pressure
RS60.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape40/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis21/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Factors60/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 57 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year January 1, 2026 - December 31, 2026 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 17,350 GBP | 2.7% | 17,829 GBP | 15,720 GBP | -0.62 | -7.96 | 31.4K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 16,890 GBP | -1.2% | 17,814 GBP | 15,688 GBP | -0.47 | -9.72 | 71.5K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 17,090 GBP | -4.0% | 17,813 GBP | 15,658 GBP | -0.50 | -10.42 | 68.1K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 17,810 GBP | -0.1% | 17,870 GBP | 15,626 GBP | -0.65 | -5.36 | 79.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 17,820 GBP | 4.9% | 17,914 GBP | 15,591 GBP | -0.95 | -4.11 | 5.8K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 16,990 GBP | -1.0% | 17,917 GBP | 15,554 GBP | -1.12 | -9.60 | 14.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 17,160 GBP | 2.8% | 17,967 GBP | 15,520 GBP | -1.18 | -7.93 | 9.4K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 16,690 GBP | 0.2% | 18,017 GBP | 15,484 GBP | -0.99 | -10.93 | 75.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 16,650 GBP | -0.9% | 18,086 GBP | 15,452 GBP | -0.64 | -11.57 | 81.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 16,800 GBP | -5.8% | 18,157 GBP | 15,422 GBP | -0.33 | -8.31 | 49.1K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 17,839 GBP | -8.4% | 18,179 GBP | 15,390 GBP | 0.13 | -2.93 | 93.7K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 19,469 GBP | 0.3% | 18,165 GBP | 15,350 GBP | 0.23 | 4.87 | 53.7K | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 19,409 GBP | -0.1% | 18,087 GBP | 15,296 GBP | 0.09 | 4.81 | 42.6K | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 19,429 GBP | 1.9% | 17,998 GBP | 15,243 GBP | -0.13 | 2.49 | 136.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.