- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
COCHINSHIP
NSI
Week ended 02 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Cochin Shipyard Limited · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
1,287.00 INR
-6.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.5%, after a -14.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
21
out of 100
Latest Close
1,287.00 INR
2 Oct 2026
1W Return
-6.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-14.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-9.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
3.8%
2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-6.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -14.1%.
Indicator stack
2/27
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.24%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.5%, after a -14.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1412-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -14.1% over four weeks, -9.2% over 12 weeks, and -30.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-241.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.89Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-544.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 90%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength2/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth13/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework8/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 49.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 6.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 33.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 21.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 12.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 2.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -13.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
0 positive · 3 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
31 Jul
28 Aug
2 Oct
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-10.3%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-6.5%Week of 2 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Industrials
4-week rank95 / 100
Group average-2.1%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS69.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank14 / 16
Group average0.5%
Trend breadth56.3%
Trend56.2%active weekly trend signals
MD37.5%positive activity pressure
RS56.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape21/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis18/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.24%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.24% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors10/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 38 SVQF8/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1493.0 of 1628 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Cochin Shipyard Stock Sinks 9% as 14% Margin Guidance Resets the Story Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 1,287.00 INR | -6.5% | 1,466.59 INR | 1,488.53 INR | -0.19 | -7.89 | 3.6M | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 1,377.00 INR | -1.5% | 1,473.37 INR | 1,483.63 INR | 0.16 | -5.01 | 3.0M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 1,398.00 INR | 1.3% | 1,477.19 INR | 1,478.20 INR | 0.36 | -4.88 | 5.4M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 1,379.45 INR | -7.9% | 1,481.18 INR | 1,472.37 INR | 0.31 | -6.77 | 10.2M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 1,497.41 INR | -2.3% | 1,484.29 INR | 1,466.98 INR | 0.13 | -1.22 | 2.3M | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 1,533.27 INR | 3.7% | 1,484.05 INR | 1,461.16 INR | -0.13 | -0.13 | 412.7K | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 1,478.84 INR | -1.1% | 1,488.14 INR | 1,454.16 INR | -0.47 | -4.04 | 817.2K | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 1,494.82 INR | -1.6% | 1,488.34 INR | 1,447.30 INR | -0.67 | -3.67 | 1.0M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1,519.70 INR | 6.8% | 1,489.29 INR | 1,440.35 INR | -0.76 | -3.08 | 2.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,423.00 INR | 2.2% | 1,490.81 INR | 1,432.62 INR | -0.75 | -8.69 | 1.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,392.40 INR | -0.7% | 1,497.55 INR | 1,425.59 INR | -0.47 | -8.65 | 543.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1,402.20 INR | -1.1% | 1,506.08 INR | 1,418.79 INR | -0.25 | -10.52 | 818.5K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,418.00 INR | -7.0% | 1,510.83 INR | 1,411.88 INR | -0.05 | -9.48 | 1.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,524.10 INR | 4.5% | 1,516.74 INR | 1,404.76 INR | -0.01 | -3.54 | 1.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.