SEPL LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Seplat Energy Plc · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 597.0 GBP
3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 13.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 80 out of 100
Latest Close 597.0 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.6% latest completed week
4W Return 13.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 32-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 12 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 13.7%. Indicator stack 97/49 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.82% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 58/100 34 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 13.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6912-week average 0.86

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1212 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 12 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.7% over four weeks, 3.7% over 12 weeks, and 121.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 32 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.6%
4W13.7%
12W3.7%
26W64.1%
52W121.7%
Active trend streak32 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change59.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership39.39Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change15.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework82/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
22.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
3.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
21.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
33.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
24.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
33.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
20.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
144.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
5.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
782.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.

8 positive · 25 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher21 of 265 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.3%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-10.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+3.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains15
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split36/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape79/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 79/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis65/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.69; 12 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.82%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.82% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors96/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 33 SVQF82/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 47.5 of 260 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.

Energy Sector Stocks With Pricing Power as Inflation Lifts Oilfield Services Demand Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026597.0 GBP3.6%493.8 GBP251.2 GBP-0.3439.392.6MOn
31 Jul 2026576.0 GBP0.5%483.7 GBP248.2 GBP-0.4836.58745.6KOn
24 Jul 2026573.0 GBP3.4%474.3 GBP245.3 GBP-0.5739.222.1MOn
17 Jul 2026554.0 GBP5.5%464.1 GBP242.5 GBP-0.7338.171.7MOn
10 Jul 2026525.0 GBP1.5%454.1 GBP239.8 GBP-0.8534.04708.4KOn
3 Jul 2026517.0 GBP3.6%445.3 GBP237.2 GBP-0.7331.40137.6KOn
26 Jun 2026499.0 GBP2.3%436.3 GBP234.7 GBP-0.4030.4683.7KOn
19 Jun 2026488.0 GBP-10.0%428.0 GBP232.3 GBP0.0430.80118.9KOn
12 Jun 2026542.0 GBP-4.2%420.4 GBP229.9 GBP0.6445.31230.0KOn
5 Jun 2026566.0 GBP1.3%411.0 GBP227.2 GBP1.0855.3660.2KOn
29 May 2026558.9 GBP-3.5%401.3 GBP224.3 GBP1.3555.30707.6KOn
22 May 2026578.9 GBP0.5%392.6 GBP221.5 GBP1.5762.66936.7KOn
15 May 2026575.9 GBP2.9%382.9 GBP218.5 GBP1.6069.22535.1KOn
8 May 2026559.8 GBP-5.4%373.3 GBP215.4 GBP1.6167.131.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context