LSE Equity Snapshot

ORCA Weekly Equity Report

Orcadian Energy Plc

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 12.50 GBP 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -10.7% latest completed week
4W Return -18.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -15.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Orcadian Energy Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, appraisal, and development of oil and gas in the United Kingdom. The company holds 100% interest in UKCS Seaward Licences P2244, which contains the Pilot and Harbour heavy oil discoveries; P2482, which includes the Elke and Narwhal discoveries; and P2634, which contains the Fynn heavy oil discovery. It also provides P2650 which include shallow gas prospects; and P2680 which contains Earlham development project, the Orwell re-development project, and the Clover gas prospect. The company formerly known as Orcadian Energy Limited and changed its name …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

ORCA closed the latest completed week at 12.50 GBP. The 4-week return is -18.3% and the 12-week return is -15.3%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.43. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 16/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -18.5%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 36 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 0 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 17 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 3 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 38 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
15.35 GBP
Vs Trend Line
-18.5%
Fair Value
11.12 GBP
Vs Fair Value
12.4%
52W High
22.00 GBP
52W Low
8.00 GBP
Drawdown
-43.2%
Range Position
32.1%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -10.7%
4W -18.3%
12W -15.3%
26W -7.4%
52W 13.6%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
34
52W Active Breadth
65.4%
Sector Scope
GB Energy
Sector Rank
87 of 94
Sector Percentile
7.5%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-1.43
4W MD Change
-88.9%
Relative Strength
-10.76
4W RS Change
-181.5%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
34.99%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
372.5K
13W Average
413.4K
52W Average
503.7K
Vs 13W
0.9x
Vs 52W
0.7x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
9.3%
52W Volatility
12.8%
Upside Weeks
18
Downside Weeks
21
Downside Breadth
40.4%
Avg Gain / Loss
11.8% / -7.8%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
LSE
Country
GB
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas E&P
Currency
GBP
Market Cap
11.3M

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 12.50 GBP -10.7% 15.35 GBP 11.12 GBP -1.43 -10.76 372.5K Off
5 Jun 2026 14.00 GBP -1.8% 15.45 GBP 11.06 GBP -1.29 0.88 35.2K Off
29 May 2026 14.25 GBP 0.0% 15.42 GBP 10.98 GBP -1.16 2.60 194.5K Off
22 May 2026 14.25 GBP -6.9% 15.51 GBP 10.92 GBP -1.05 2.38 200.6K Off
15 May 2026 15.30 GBP 2.0% 15.37 GBP 10.86 GBP -0.76 13.19 104.9K On
8 May 2026 15.00 GBP -14.3% 15.16 GBP 10.79 GBP -0.50 11.13 443.0K On
1 May 2026 17.50 GBP 0.0% 14.97 GBP 10.73 GBP -0.42 28.51 109.6K On
24 Apr 2026 17.50 GBP -5.4% 14.70 GBP 10.66 GBP -0.51 29.26 996.1K On
17 Apr 2026 18.50 GBP 23.3% 14.40 GBP 10.59 GBP -0.72 33.70 860.4K On
10 Apr 2026 15.00 GBP 7.1% 14.07 GBP 10.51 GBP -0.88 9.75 505.6K On
3 Apr 2026 14.00 GBP 3.7% 13.86 GBP 10.46 GBP -0.77 4.10 371.9K On
27 Mar 2026 13.50 GBP -8.5% 13.67 GBP 10.41 GBP -0.38 5.31 550.3K On
20 Mar 2026 14.75 GBP -9.2% 13.51 GBP 10.36 GBP 0.02 15.87 629.9K On
13 Mar 2026 16.25 GBP -0.3% 13.30 GBP 10.31 GBP 0.26 23.85 191.2K On