- The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
ARMN
MEX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
ARM HOLDINGS PLC · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
4,900 MXN
17.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.6%, after a -14.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
48
out of 100
Latest Close
4,900 MXN
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
17.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-14.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
34.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
17.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -14.0%.
Indicator stack
66/30
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 17.6%, after a -14.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7112-week average 0.70
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -14.0% over four weeks, 34.2% over 12 weeks, and 90.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-155.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership47.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-39.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+45.4%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-21.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+17.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol16.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.7% / -6.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Technology
4-week rank82 / 100
Group average0.3%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS61.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Semiconductors
4-week rank19 / 26
Group average-10.6%
Trend breadth80.8%
Trend80.8%active weekly trend signals
MD30.8%positive activity pressure
RS76.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis79/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.71; 2 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4,900 MXN | 17.6% | 3,782 MXN | 3,063 MXN | -0.40 | 47.12 | 1.5K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4,167 MXN | -9.3% | 3,686 MXN | 3,037 MXN | -0.15 | 26.52 | 6.4K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,593 MXN | -3.3% | 3,616 MXN | 3,021 MXN | 0.10 | 41.54 | 412 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,748 MXN | -16.7% | 3,530 MXN | 2,998 MXN | 0.36 | 46.69 | 2.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5,700 MXN | 4.1% | 3,440 MXN | 2,972 MXN | 0.73 | 77.87 | 1.4K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5,475 MXN | -6.2% | 3,331 MXN | 2,932 MXN | 0.97 | 72.00 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5,840 MXN | -21.9% | 3,234 MXN | 2,893 MXN | 1.22 | 85.39 | 970 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 7,479 MXN | 15.1% | 3,121 MXN | 2,848 MXN | 1.44 | 138.95 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6,500 MXN | 5.9% | 2,952 MXN | 2,775 MXN | 1.47 | 112.37 | 279 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6,136 MXN | 0.6% | 2,821 MXN | 2,716 MXN | 1.44 | 110.47 | 1.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 6,100 MXN | 14.9% | 2,710 MXN | 2,661 MXN | 1.46 | 106.09 | 3.5K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 5,310 MXN | 45.4% | 2,610 MXN | 2,605 MXN | 1.49 | 83.93 | 3.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,651 MXN | -0.2% | 2,538 MXN | 2,560 MXN | 1.53 | 29.24 | 3.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 3,659 MXN | -0.3% | 2,518 MXN | 2,541 MXN | 1.54 | 26.53 | 39.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.