- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
KPG
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited · Industrials · Specialty Business Services
Latest close
4.35 AUD
6.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.1%, after a 9.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
33
out of 100
Latest Close
4.35 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
9.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
2.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 33.06% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 9.8%.
Indicator stack
0/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 33.06%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.1%, after a 9.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0412-week average 0.01
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 9.8% over four weeks, 2.6% over 12 weeks, and -57.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.88Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1394.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-39.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change14.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength28/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality95/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth88/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework77/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 57.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 8.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 100.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 19.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 21.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 15.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 24.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -3.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 34.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 9.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -1.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 8.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
2 positive · 16 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-61.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.6%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-15.4%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+6.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses10
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/33Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Industrials
4-week rank14 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Specialty Business Services
4-week rank1 / 11
Group average1.1%
Trend breadth27.3%
Trend27.3%active weekly trend signals
MD27.3%positive activity pressure
RS36.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape27/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis16/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 33.06%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 33.06% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors37/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 70; Small Cap Core rank 78 SVQF77/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 59.5 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
Kelly Partners Group (ASX:KPG) Rises as Investors Revisit Quality Small-Cap Earnings Plays Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4.35 AUD | 6.1% | 4.89 AUD | 7.66 AUD | 0.88 | -39.69 | 221.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.10 AUD | 3.8% | 5.02 AUD | 7.66 AUD | 0.75 | -42.34 | 196.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.95 AUD | 2.1% | 5.17 AUD | 7.67 AUD | 0.58 | -44.28 | 244.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.87 AUD | -2.3% | 5.30 AUD | 7.67 AUD | 0.31 | -46.57 | 652.5K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.96 AUD | -1.7% | 5.46 AUD | 7.68 AUD | -0.07 | -46.51 | 384.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.03 AUD | 11.3% | 5.58 AUD | 7.68 AUD | -0.42 | -46.78 | 121.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.62 AUD | 1.4% | 5.74 AUD | 7.69 AUD | -0.61 | -52.61 | 113.7K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.57 AUD | -6.1% | 5.90 AUD | 7.69 AUD | -0.78 | -54.44 | 39.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.80 AUD | -5.2% | 6.07 AUD | 7.70 AUD | -0.81 | -52.22 | 91.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.01 AUD | 2.6% | 6.25 AUD | 7.70 AUD | -0.73 | -49.40 | 507.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.91 AUD | -3.9% | 6.42 AUD | 7.71 AUD | -0.76 | -52.05 | 60.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.07 AUD | -4.0% | 6.61 AUD | 7.71 AUD | -0.79 | -50.48 | 343.1K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.24 AUD | -6.0% | 6.81 AUD | 7.71 AUD | -0.88 | -49.04 | 408.0K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.51 AUD | 4.9% | 7.01 AUD | 7.71 AUD | -1.12 | -47.36 | 261.8K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.